As the Air Force mulls what a sixth generation air superiority capability will look like, planners should not assume the solution will resemble a fifth generation fighter, said CSBA Senior Fellow John Stillion on Tuesday during a talk sponsored by AFA’s Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies. “Everything has to earn its way onto the airplane,” he said, noting that each attribute would have “costs and benefits.” With the development of better sensors and missiles, speed has diminished in its importance in air-to-air combat, and platform agility does little against more accurate longer range missiles in many cases, said Stillion during his presentation in Arlington, Va. He noted that building a maneuverable fighter requires more engineering to survive higher stresses, which takes away payload, and supersonic speeds can give aircraft higher infrared signatures due to increased heat. “Is the day of the big warplane about to arrive?” he asked rhetorically. If beyond visual range is the prevailing form of aerial combat now, perhaps a future solution involves platforms with more space for “multi-phenomenology” sensors, weapons, and networks, said Stillion. A large platform is better able to host directed-energy weapons as well, he said.
China thinks it will be able to invade Taiwan by 2027 and has developed a technology edge in many key areas—but it is artificial intelligence that may be the decisive factor should conflict erupt, Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall said.