Kendall: USAF Can’t Afford Next-Gen Fighter, Tanker, and Wingman Drones All at Once

Kendall: USAF Can’t Afford Next-Gen Fighter, Tanker, and Wingman Drones All at Once

Nov. 5, 2024 | By John A. Tirpak

The Next-Generation Air Dominance fighter; the Next-Generation Aerial refueling System tanker; a second increment of Collaborative Combat Aircraft drones: Air Force leaders have said in recent years they need them all to be prepared for a future fight with a great power like China.

But speaking at the Airlift/Tanker Association symposium on Nov. 1, Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall admitted the Air Force will have to get “creative” with its future force structure because it cannot afford them all.

“Right now, given our commitments, our resources, and strategic priorities, it’s hard for me to see how we can afford any combination of those new designs,” Kendall said in Grapevine, Texas.

That could prove especially difficult given how the three programs play off one another.

“These three potential new-design platforms are all tied together, all in an Agile Combat Employment context,” Kendall said of NGAD, NGAS, and CCA. They are connected “both operationally and from an affordability perspective, and we are working through a sprint of about four months” to assess “the best combination of capabilities to pursue at various investment levels.”

Having enough resources to build the Air Force that’s needed is “what I worry about most,” Kendall added, noting that “we have to get somewhat creative to adapt our existing force to meet the threat.”

Kendall put a “pause” on the manned NGAD fighter earlier this year, and both he and Chief of Staff Gen. David W. Allvin have said they are unsure if the requirements of the program as set years ago fit with the evolving threat and new unmanned technologies like CCA.

To review those requirements, the service assembled a blue-ribbon panel, including three former Air Force Chiefs of Staff, one former Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, and two leading civilian experts. They are reviewing the evidence now and will recommend a way forward in December.

Kendall said in September he wants the NGAD fighter to cost less than an F-35, which costs about $82 million for the Air Force variant. Having previously pegged the cost of NGAD at “multiple hundreds of millions” of dollars, however, he’s looking for a radical cut in price and capability. A planned contract award for a winner originally scheduled for fall 2024 has been postponed to 2025 at the earliest.

Over the past few decades, the Air Force has had to resort to “a lot of tricks to squeeze more capability out of the same set of resources,” Kendall said. The service has become extremely efficient “by tailoring how we do business to current demands, but it has come at the expense of our ability to deal with our pacing challenge” of China, he said, and the modernization bill has come due.

“There comes a point where you simply need more resources to accomplish more mission. This is particularly true now,” he said. He reiterated recent comments noting that Chinese president Xi Jinping has “told his military: be ready to seize Taiwan by 2027; just over two years from now, even if the U.S. intervenes. I believe that the [People’s Liberation Army] will tell Xi that they are ready.”

Not only are the Air Force’s three marquee programs not all affordable within expected budgets, but the Air Force has other must-pay bills, such as for modernization of two of the three legs of the nation’s nuclear deterrent, Kendall said. Those include the B-21 strategic bomber and Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile, the latter of which has seen a $40 billion cost overrun in the last year.   

Stealthy Tanker

Kendall said China has in recent years invested heavily in precision missiles that can disable air bases and shoot down key assets, such as surveillance, tanker and mobility aircraft, which could hobble U.S. forces operating in the Indo-Pacific theater.

“The increasing threat to our mobility platforms” demands a stealthy tanker—NGAS—that can go with the combat air forces into contested territory and provide the range and staying power they need to prevail, he said.

The need for modernization of mobility forces “will only grow in the years to come. We have made a good start over the last three years, but early-stage development is the lowest-cost part of the new product life cycle,” Kendall said.

In addition to NGAS, officials have spoken on a Next-Generation Air Lift platform, or NGAL, as a replacement for the C-5, C-17 and C-130. Kendall confirmed “we have conceived of a next-generation transport, but at least at this point…we have not moved forward to start that program,” suggesting it would not be affordable within the already-overfull portfolio.

Kendall also said the Space Force needs more money to “grow at the pace needed to be competitive. The entire joint force depends on the success of the Space Force for both its capabilities and its survival.”

Overall, “modernization bills for both Air Force legs of the nuclear triad are coming due in the next few years. We must have robust airbase defense, and we must attack our potential adversaries’ long-range kill chains,” Kendall said. “All of these are absolutely essential for the success of the Air Force and Space Force and the joint force, and all that requires substantial increased investments.”

Kendall: ‘I Would Be Comfortable’ If USAF Took Over Air Base Defense from Army

Kendall: ‘I Would Be Comfortable’ If USAF Took Over Air Base Defense from Army

Nov. 4, 2024 | By John A. Tirpak

The Pentagon should give the Air Force the air base defense mission and the resources to carry it out, Secretary Frank Kendall said Nov. 1 at the Airlift/Tanker Association Symposium in Grapevine, Texas.

“There is one thing we must move faster on: our progress against the full range of threats to our bases. This is a joint responsibility that we have been working on with our Army colleagues, and that we hope to accelerate,” Kendall said during a keynote address. “Frankly, I would be comfortable with the Department of the Air Force taking on the … defense of air bases as an organic mission, if the needed resources—human and financial, etc.—were made available.”

Under the 1948 Key West agreements that set the core roles and missions of the services, the Army is supposed to defend air bases. It’s a mission that’s gotten tougher in recent years as China has built a formidable number and variety of long-range precision-guided missiles likely intended to rain destruction on U.S. bases in the Indo-Pacific, Kendall said.

This threat has prompted the Air Force to pursue the concept of Agile Combat Employment, in which the service plans to deploy small teams of Airmen capable of moving quickly to remote or austere bases, to multiply the number of targets China must shoot at and reduce the chances of a knockout blow at any one base.

But the Army has not committed the resources necessary to match the ACE model. Its Patriot and Theater High Altitude Air Defense (THAAD) systems are effective, but batteries are relatively few in number and there aren’t enough missiles to go around for the number of bases ACE will require. The Air Force has complained with increasing urgency that the Army is not taking the mission seriously enough, even as the Army encroaches on the Air Force’s core mission of long-range strike by developing costly hypersonic missiles with limited potential effects. The Air Force believes its forward forces are ill-protected.

The challenge of countering a large-scale missile strike has been drawn into sharp relief by Iran’s recent missile volleys toward Israel, which were thwarted by an international defensive effort from land, sea, and air. Such a level of effort would likely not be sustainable in a large Indo-Pacific theater war.

The Air Force and Army both have experimented with lasers and directed energy weapons for air base defense, the idea being that many, low-cost defensive shots can impose the greatest cost of such combat on the attacker instead of the defender.

Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. David Allvin, in a virtual event with the American Enterprise Institute on Oct. 31, said the Air Force used to have permissive access to forward locations, but “that is no longer the case.”

“The challenge is doubled or tripled by not only having to go the tyranny of distance, but being able to survive and protect the equipment along the way, into in the beginning of the fight and during the fight,” he said.

“We are looking at things … [that] increase the survivability of the bases from which we operate. And then in the midst of a conflict, how we get the right equipment to the right place at the right time is not only a matter of protecting it with hardened shelters and maybe camouflage, concealment and deception, but it’s also connectivity, to have that situational awareness,” and be able to react quickly when China points “its next salvo of long-range missiles to attack.”

Photos: 10 Fighters Escort B-1 in Pacific Show of Force

Photos: 10 Fighters Escort B-1 in Pacific Show of Force

Nov. 4, 2024 | By Greg Hadley

A B-1 bomber from Ellsworth Air Force Base, S.D., joined 10 Allied fighters from the U.S., Japan, and South Korea on Nov. 3 in a show of force just days after North Korea tested an intercontinental ballistic missile. China, meanwhile, countered with its own wave of its warplanes near Taiwan the same day. 

It was the second time this year the U.S., Japan, and South Korealn air forces exercised together. The flight “continues strong trilateral cooperation, enabling immediate response to regional security challenges in a critical security environment,” U.S. Indo-Pacific Command said in a statement. 

Joining the B-1 were four Japanese F-2s, four South Korean F-15Ks, and two USAF F-16s from the 51st Fighter Wing at Osan Air Base, South Korea. 

South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff noted in a release that the flight took the aircraft east of Jeju Island, between Japan and South Korea and a few hundred miles from China and Taiwan, and was in response to North Korea’s ICBM test on Oct. 31. 

Fighter aircraft from the U.S., Japan, and the Republic of Korea conduct a trilateral escort flight of a B-1 bomber a few hundred miles from Taiwan. U.S. Air Force photo by Senior Airman Maria Umanzor Guzman

Public flight tracking data showed refueling aircraft supporting the flight flying off the coast of Tokyo on the eastern side of Japan. 

“Our three nations maintain an absolute commitment to the shared vision of a secure, rules-based, and open Indo-Pacific region,” INDOPACOM said in its release. 

North Korea’s ICBM test was its first in almost a year, according to the Associated Press. It also traveled further than any in the past, indicative of potential advancement in capability. The launch also followed close on the heels of revelations that North Korea has sent thousands of troops to Russia for potential deployment in its war against Ukraine. That move has ratcheted up tensions around the globe. 

Meanwhile, Taiwan reported Nov. 3 that China sent 35 military aircraft, including fighters and bombers, south of its island territory. China has steadily increased its military activity around Taiwan, sending waves of aircraft and ships and rehearing potential blockades and invasions. Beijing has said it is preparing its military to be ready for an invasion by 2027. 

U.S. forces are on alert around the globe, preparing for potential contingencies should adversaries seek to use the contentious U.S. election for their own purposes, the Washington Post reported. 

In addition to the bomber escort flight, the U.S. has also flexed its airpower in the Pacific in recent weeks through Keen Sword 25 across Japan. As part of the exercise, USAF F-22 fighters flew alongside U.S. Marine Corps F-35Bs and Japanese Air Self-Defense Force F-15Js at Nyutabaru Air Base and USAF F-16 fighters flew with Japanese F-2s at Tsuiki Air Base in southwest Japan. 

The exercise was capped off by an “elephant walk” on Nov. 1 of U.S. and Japanese aircraft at Misawa Air Base in the northern part of the country, featuring: 

  • Four USAF F-16 fighters 
  • Four JASDF F-35 fighters 
  • Three JASDF F-2 fighters 
  • One JASDF E-2D airborne early warning aircraft 
  • One JASDF RQ-4B drone 
  • One U.S. Navy C-12 cargo plane 
  • One U.S. Navy P-8 maritime patrol aircraft 
How the Air Force Reserve Is Trying To Fix Its Child Care Access Problem

How the Air Force Reserve Is Trying To Fix Its Child Care Access Problem

Nov. 4, 2024 | By David Roza

Every drill weekend, Air Force Reservists across the country face the same problem: where to find child care for their kids. Amid a nationwide provider shortage, finding child care for drill weekends is even more difficult than during weekdays.

“Sometimes I’ve seen reservists bring their kids to work, which is not ideal,” Chief Master Sgt. Israel Nuñez, the senior enlisted leader for Air Force Reserve Command, told Air & Space Forces Magazine.

The Air Force runs a Home Community Care (HCC) program where individuals provide child care for Reservists and Air National Guardsmen on weekends, but those providers are often few and far between.

“If we wanted to drop our son off [with an HCC provider], we would have had to wake up at about 3:30, 4:00 in the morning to be able to leave the house on time, drop him off, and then get to work,” said 1st Lt. Marjorie Schurr, whose husband is also an Air Force Reservist. “That just wasn’t feasible, and we wouldn’t have gotten home until 6:30 at night.”

Schurr isn’t alone: a 2023 survey found 33.9 percent of Air Force Reservists rely on a spouse or partner to provide child care during drill weekends, 27.6 percent rely on parents or relatives, and 10 percent use private child care centers. One respondent said private child care cost almost $500 for two 12-hour days.

“That is my entire drill pay, not including the price of gas,” the survey respondent said. “I’m essentially working for free to be away from my baby, which is not fair to either of us.”

The cost, distance, and uncertainty of having to find trustworthy providers every drill weekend—formally known as Unit Training Assembly (UTA) weekends—is becoming a retention issue in the Reserve, which in the past few years has struggled with recruitment, Nuñez said.

“We want them to stay in for the long term, but if they’re having to pay to serve, they’re going to question their decision in the future if they want to reenlist or not,” he said.

New pilot programs at Pittsburgh Air Reserve Station, Pa., and Dobbins Air Reserve Base, Ga., may serve as a template for providing low-cost, accessible, and reliable child care for the rest of the Air Force Reserves, and possibly for Reserve components across the military.

reserve child care
An Airman and their child attend the ARC Athena event at the Tech. Sgt. Vernon McGarity U.S. Army Reserve Center in Coraopolis, Pennsylvania, April 13, 2023. (U.S. Air Force photo by Staff Sgt. James Fritz)

Status Quo

Location is everything, and on the winding mountain roads surrounding Pittsburgh Air Reserve Station, a 15-mile drive can take 45 minutes or more round-trip. That made it difficult for Reservists there to use far-flung HCC providers on drill weekends, said Alex McConnell, military and family readiness program manager for the base’s 911th Airlift Wing.

HCC is successful in its own right: the program provided 97,501 hours of child care to 882 Air Force families for just $1 million in fiscal year 2023, according to a March press release. But Pittsburgh Reservists struggled with the long distances between locations, and they preferred having a central child care facility. Others feel the same way: nearly 500 of the 595 respondents to the 2023 survey recommended having a central facility open on drill weekends.

Another challenge with the HCC network is that HCC providers often have to split their attention between their own children and the service member’s. Nuñez and his wife, a fellow Reservist, experienced that during their years at Travis Air Force Base, Calif.

“It just wasn’t the individualized attention we thought that our six-month old really needed at that time,” he said. 

Even when Reservists find an HCC provider who clicks with them, that provider may not be able to open their doors every month during drill weekend, or they might move away, forcing Reservists to start over with someone new.

The vast majority of Reserve wings are located on Active-Duty bases, which have full-time day care providers called Child Development Centers (CDC), Nuñez explained. But those CDCs usually are not open on weekends, and finding people to staff CDCs is already an issue across the military. If the Reserve wing wants the CDC to stay open, they may have to pay employees overtime to work weekends.

“Even if you open it up on the weekend, our Reservists have to pay that cost, which oftentimes, just working two days, your whole paycheck may be going to that child care,” he said.

Solutions

At Pittsburgh, the 911th Airlift Wing found a civilian provider close to the base that could stay open on weekends. Building trust between the provider and the families involved was a key part of the process.

“It’s really about building relationships,” starting with introducing the parents and the providers, McConnell said. The purpose was “to feel comfortable with letting them take care of the most valuable thing in our lives: our children.”

McConnell did not want to name the center for security and privacy reasons, but it’s already proven a big success, with about 20 families signed up since it opened in July. Schurr’s is one of them.

“The center we’re working with has been absolutely phenomenal,” she said. “They’ve been so caring and so patient, and they make it a point to send me pictures of my son throughout the day to show how he’s doing. And it is such a relief for me to know that he’s less than five minutes away from me should something happen.”

Before it opened, Schurr and her husband were not sure they could both make their goals of serving more than 20 years each. A prior enlisted Airman, Schurr has 12 years of experience while her husband has 18.

“I was very concerned that one of us would have to retire at 20 and say that our military career was done, just for the well-being of our family,” she said. “Now that this option is available, I know that we can stay in the military much longer, and our son is still taken care of and our family is still taken care of.”

military child care
Joint Base Anacostia-Bolling Family Child Care provider, Amanda Wade, completes a puzzle with children in her home on March 31, 2023, at JBAB, Washington, D.C. (U.S. Air Force photo by Jason Treffry)

Dobbins Air Reserve Base, Ga., found similar success after a former HCC provider opened her own child care center that caters to Reservists. It’s about a 25-minute drive from the base, but the feedback has been great so far, said Angela Pedersen, military and family readiness director for Dobbins’ 94th Airlift Wing.

“People don’t want to feel like they’re imposing on their family all the time,” she said. “This was kind of a relief for them.”

The new center opened up child care slots for 22 more children, Pedersen said. If those slots get filled, she thinks it could help convince other providers to open on weekends too. McConnell, the family readiness manager at Pittsburgh, made a similar point.

“For [the provider] to take the risk of opening on a weekend, without a 100 percent guarantee that they’re going to meet the minimum number of kids that they need to make a profit, that really was a leap of faith for them,” he said. “It turned out to be in everyone’s favor, that trust paid off, and they’re well above the threshold they need to be at to keep the doors open on a weekend.”

Both McConnell and Pedersen said their centers could serve as templates for other Air Force Reserve units to follow, as long as families trust the providers to take care of their kids, and as long as providers trust the families to consistently bring their kids to the center. Pedersen also suggested appealing to the provider’s sense of patriotism.

“Everybody’s all about patriotism and thanking our service members, and this is a way they can do that,” she said. “They’re not doing it for free, they are going to get paid. It’s just that the service needs to be in place.”

There is no silver bullet to providing child care for Reservists on weekends, Nuñez said. Instead, families need multiple options so they can choose the one which works best for them. Reserve units might consider working with the local Chamber of Commerce, KinderCare, or other organizations to create new solutions.

In the meantime, Nuñez said Congress could help by earmarking money to set up Reservist child care contracts with local providers. It could be modeled after the Reserve Health Readiness Program, where local health care providers are contracted to provide mandatory vaccines for troops far from a military treatment facility, for example.

“The doctors will come to your reserve unit, they will give you your shots, and that’s already covered by the contracted unit,” Nuñez explained. “If Congress were to write that into law and actually earmark money towards it, I think we could potentially get to a similar solution for child care. What that does is it incentivizes companies to contract with the federal government.”

The idea is to incentivize private child care companies to do what they don’t normally do: stay open on weekends. Pedersen floated another idea: making it easier for trusted friends of service members to become paid, certified providers through the HCC program.

“If there was a way to do that where the friend says, ‘OK, I’m not trying to be a daycare provider, but I will take this course so that I can keep my best friend’s child on UTA weekends,’ that would be great,” she said.

Since Reservist child care access is a military-wide problem, and each branch is trying out its own solutions, the Department of Defense should form an interservice reserve component working group to figure it out together, Nuñez said.

“We don’t go to war without a Reserve component,” he said, “so let’s take care of our Reservists as well.”

B-52 Bombers Deploy to Middle East to Deter Iran, More F-15E Fighters to Come

B-52 Bombers Deploy to Middle East to Deter Iran, More F-15E Fighters to Come

Nov. 3, 2024 | By Chris Gordon

U.S. Air Force B-52 Stratofortress bombers have arrived in the Middle East to deter Iran and its proxies, the U.S. military announced Nov. 3. It is the first time that B-52s have deployed to a base in the region since 2019. 

The U.S. is deploying a total of six B-52s, an additional squadron of F-15E Strike Eagles, and more aerial refueling tankers to support those aircraft, U.S. officials told Air & Space Forces Magazine.

The fresh airpower is designed to compensate for the upcoming departure of the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, U.S. officials said. It also comes as senior Iranian officials have threatened to attack Israel following Israel’s retaliatory airstrikes on Iranian air defenses and ballistic missile production sites Oct. 26.

“These movements demonstrate the flexible nature of U.S. global defense posture and U.S. capability to deploy worldwide on short notice to meet evolving national security threats,” Pentagon Press Secretary Air Force Maj. Gen. Patrick S. Ryder said in a Nov. 1 statement.

The U.S. military did not say where the B-52s, which are from the 5th Bomb Wing at Minot Air Base, N.D., will be based in the region. But cargo aircraft originating in Minot have arrived at Al Udeid Air Base, Qatar, in recent days. Al Udeid is the largest U.S. base in the Middle East and has previously hosted B-52s.

The Lincoln battlegroup includes warships capable of shooting down ballistic missiles. U.S. cruisers and destroyers weapons helped defend Israel from Iranian ballistic missiles in April and October. Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III has also ordered more missile defense-capable destroyers to the region.

“These forces will begin to arrive in coming months,” Ryder said.

These moves come on the heels of other steps the Pentagon has taken to strengthen the U.S. military posture in the region. 

Last month, the U.S. deployed a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) ballistic missile defense system to Israel along with nearly 100 U.S. troops to operate it. Some 2,000-plus Marines are in the eastern Mediterranean as part of an Amphibious Ready Group Marine Expeditionary Unit (ARG/MEU) led by the USS Wasp amphibious assault ship.

A fresh squadron of F-16s, the 480th Fighter Squadron from Spangdahlem Air Base, Germany, deployed to the Middle East in late October. KC-46 Pegasus tankers deployed to CENTCOM in early October before Austin ordered more airpower to the region.

Austin made the decision on the B-52s and other assets “in keeping with our commitments to the protection of U.S. citizens and forces in the Middle East, the defense of Israel, and de-escalation through deterrence and diplomacy,” Ryder said. “Secretary Austin continues to make clear that should Iran, its partners, or its proxies use this moment to target American personnel or interests in the region, the United States will take every measure necessary to defend our people.“

4 Keys to the Election Results for the Air & Space Forces

4 Keys to the Election Results for the Air & Space Forces

Nov. 1, 2024 | By Greg Hadley

On the eve of Election Day, the U.S. Senate is projected to swing ever so narrowly to the Republican party, while the race for the presidency has Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in a virtual tie, and control of the House of Representatives remains anyone’s guess.

Regardless of who wins the White House, however, a host of changes are headed our way, many of which will impact the Air Force, Space Force, and the rest of the military family. Here are four of them.

Civilian Leadership 

Whoever wins the White House gest to reshape the civilian leadership of the national security enterprise, beginning with the Pentagon. The Defense Secretary and his underlings and the Air Force Secretary and his civilian leadership team are all appointed positions, subject to confirmation by the Senate.

When administrations change, so do those civilian leaders, usually on or before Jan. 20, when the new president is inaugurated. The rare exception: President Barack Obama’s decision to ask his predecessor’s Defense Secretary, Robert Gates, to stay on. That was especially unusual given that Gates was appointed by President George W. Bush, a Republican, and Obama was a Democrat elected on a platform of change. Yet Gates didn’t just stay a short while. He remained secretary until June 30, 2011.

That’s not likely to happen this time. Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III, 71, and closely aligned with President Joe Biden, will relinquish the job he has held the past four years. He has endured cancer and hospitalization during his tenure.

Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall, is another story. Kendall has indicated he would like to stay in office. Though he will be 76 in January, he remains healthy, vibrant, and effective. Whether he stays or not depends not only on who wins the White House but also who the White House chooses for Defense Secretary.

If Trump wins, Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) is seen by multiple media outlets as a leading contender for Defense Secretary. A member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, Cotton has been an advocate for Air Force programs, and recently suggested the Air Force should acquire more than the 100 B-21 bombers in its current plan. 

If Harris wins, however, America’s first woman president could appoint its first female Secretary of Defense. Army Secretary Christine Wormuth is one leading candidate cited by multiple media outlets, but Michelle Flournoy, a former Undersecretary for Policy under Gates during the Obama years, is also a leading candidate. Flournoy narrowly missed out on the job four years ago.  

Wormuth admired Kendall’s work to define seven “operational imperatives” for the Air and Space Forces and sought to do the same for the Army. She would face speticism, however, over her ability to treat the services fairly after a long tenure leading the Army. Flournoy has been criticized for connections to the defense industry, but her policy credentials are widely respected and her industry ties are unlikely to prove troublesome.

A potential dark horse is Rep. Adam Smith (D-Wash.), identified by POLITICO as a contender. His appointment would put an Air Force skeptic atop the Pentagon. Over more than a decade as the top Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee, Smith has been a consistent and vocal critic of the F-35, and an ardent opponent of the land-based leg of the nuclear triad. Smith opposes the Sentinel ICBM, and has argued it is in need of a “rethink.”

Control of Congress 

The Hill gives the Republicans a 75 percent chance of winning the Senate, and Republicans hope to have at least 52 of 100 seats; they could get as many as 54. Assuming they win the majority, Sen. Roger Wicker (R-Miss.), the highest-ranking Republican on the Senate Armed Services Committee, would become chairman.

Wicker pressed for a $55 billion increase in defense spending last spring, and laid out a detailed defense modernization plan at the same time, championing the Air Force, in particular. He has called for acquiring at least 340 fighter jets over the next five years than current Air Force plans would buy and has advocated for doubling the planned B-21 fleet to 200. He reiterated that message in a Wall Street Journal op-ed co-authored with fellow Republican Sen. Eric Schmitt for the Wall Street Journal. 

Key to achieving that agenda, regardless of who wins the presidency, is the outlook in the House. Should Republicans retain their current majority, Rep. Mike Rogers (Ala.) would remain Chairman. Often credited as the main legislative driver for creating a Space Force, Rogers has two more years before House Republican rules would force him to relinquish the seat. Rogers has fought hard to get U.S. Space Command to move to Alabama, and appeared to have won the contest in the waning days of the Trump administration. The decision was later reversed, however, and could be open for debate again if the chips go the Republicans’ way.  

Rep. Rob Wittman (R-Va.) is seen as a potential successor to Rogers, and would expand his influence as chair of the Tactical Air and Land subcommittee if Republicans hold the House. Wittman has been supportive of the Air Force’s Collaborative Combat Aircraft program, and while he has shown frustration with the F-35 program and hails from a heavily Navy district, that district also contains Langley Air Force Base, home to Air Combat Command and the Air Force’s F-22 fleet. 

If Democrats take control of the House, however, Smith would regain the chairmanship of the House Armed Services Committee. That is, unless he moved to the Pentagon. In that case, Rep. Chrissy Houlahan (D-Pa.) could gain prominence. She is an Air Force veteran who previously helped lead the committee’s Quality of Life panel. 

Races to Watch 

Several lawmakers who have been key figures in defense in recent years are facing serious headwinds as they fight for reelection.  

Two of the Air Force’s biggest boosters, both Nebraska Republicans, face tough reelection battles: Rep. Don Bacon and Sen. Deb Fischer.

Bacon is a retired Air Force brigadier general who has pushed to recapitalize the fighter fleet, particularly in the Air National Guard. He currently leads the House Armed Services Quality of Life subcommittee, and has championed substantial pay raises for junior enlisted members to spur recruiting and retention. In a district that includes Offutt Air Force Base, Bacon is facing fierce competition from state Rep. Tony Vargas, whom he defeated in 2022 by a mere 2.66 percentage points. Polls show him trailing Vargas in a race that has drawn national leaders to invest time and effort on both sides. 

Fischer—chair of the Senate Armed Services Strategic Forces subcommittee—is being challenged by an independent, Dan Osborne, a Navy veteran who has said he will caucus with neither party if elected. In a state that’s home to U.S. Strategic Command, Fischer has been a fierce advocate for nuclear modernization. Polls show a tight race, even though Osborn lacks party backing and resources.  

Another surprising race has Montana Sen. Jon Tester, a three-term Senate Democrat in a mostly Republican state, under duress. Tester, the top Democrat on the Senate Appropriations Defense subcommittee, has been a strong advocate for ICBM modernization, a key factor for a state that is home to Malmstrom Air Force Base. But the Sentinel ICBM program has been hit with cost and schedule overruns, and Tester has been hit with a surprisingly strong campaign from Republican Tim Sheehy, a political novice

Veterans in Congress 

There are 30 former Air Force, Air Force Reserve, and Air National Guard members running for Congress, only two of whom are incumbents, according to a Military Times analysis.  Among them, media analytics specialist FiveThirtyEight calculates that:

  • 11 have at least 99 percent chance of victory 
  • Three others are favored to win  
  • And 16 are either not favored or have no chance to win. 

The net result is that Congress should gain a number of members with Air Force roots, among them Republicans Sheri Biggs (S.C.) and Troy Downing (Mont.) and Democrat Herbert Conaway Jr. (N.J.) 

KC-46s Deploy to Middle East for 1st Time

KC-46s Deploy to Middle East for 1st Time

Nov. 1, 2024 | By Greg Hadley

KC-46 aerial tankers from Joint Base McGuire-Dix-Lakehurst, N.J., landed in the Middle East in early October, beginning the refueler’s first-ever operational deployment.  

KC-46s previously operated out of Al Udeid Air Base, Qatar, in 2022, as part of an Employment Concept Exercise meant to help validate and clear the Pegasus for operational duty. But not until now have KC-46s deployed for full-scale operational use, according to a news release. The deployment establishes a regular rotation of KC-46s in the Middle East for years to come. 

In September 2022, Air Mobility Command cleared the KC-46 for worldwide deployments and combatant commander taskings, including in combat. Since then, Pegasus jets have participated in training exercises, stateside taskings, and operated in the Indo-Pacific, and Europe, and South America. But combat operations were limited. 

“While the KC-46A has operated in CENTCOM previously, this deployment is building the foundation for sustained KC-46A expeditionary operations,” said Maj. Andrew Doenitz, commander of the new expeditionary squadron. “It’s been a team effort across the enterprise to prepare for the KC-46A Expeditionary Air Refueling Squadron stand-up, and I’m proud of our Airmen for playing a role in this historic achievement.” 

The KC-46s deployed and were ready to operate rapidly, the Air Force said. Given only 72 hours notice to generate forces and deploy, the 305th Expeditionary Air Refueling Squadron was established for the deployment. Several support agencies from the 305th Air Mobility Wing and 87th Air Base Wing across Joint Base McGuire-Dix-Lakehurst, N.J., worked to get the entire Mission Generation Force Element trained, equipped and prepared to deploy.

The unit made its first operational sortie Oct. 8. The Air Force has surged aircraft into the region as tensions rose between Iran and Israel.

The Air Force called the 305th a mission generation force element, new nomenclature related to its evolving force generation and deployment model. It carried with additional capabilities, including expanded connectivity, increased fuel capacity, and onboard aeromedical evacuation equipment.

The aircraft also brought a Deployable Air Refueling Support Hub kit containing every mission planning cell component they needed and enabling the unit to begin air tasking orders within 48 hours of arrival.

Air Forces Central deactivated KC-10 and KC-135 Expeditionary Air Refueling Squadrons, though KC-135s continue to operate in the region.

Airmen and KC-46s from Pease Air National Guard Base, N.H., had been poised to make the first Pegasus deployment, but that plan was nixed by “emerging requirements within the AOR” and the tasking went to the 305th Air Mobility Wing instead, the release noted. 

Allvin Says CCA Will Be ‘Pathfinder’ for New Way of Acquisition: Design over Sustainment

Allvin Says CCA Will Be ‘Pathfinder’ for New Way of Acquisition: Design over Sustainment

Nov. 1, 2024 | By John A. Tirpak

The Air Force structured its Collaborative Combat Aircraft program to produce autonomous drones that won’t have long service lives, ensuring the service can and must move on to new systems optimized for a changing threat, Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. David Allvin said this week—a pathfinder for a new, broader emphasis on design rather than sustainment.

The first CCA contractors—Anduril Industries and General Atomics Aeronautical Systems—are able to keep their costs down “because we didn’t put into the mix the idea of long sustainment; of depot maintenance,” Allvin said at an Oct. 31 event with the American Enterprise Institute.

“I don’t want a 30,000-hour on engine on that thing,” he said of the CCA drones. “I don’t want it for that long. I want to be able to upgrade it to something else, without it being cost-prohibitive because we’ve already sunk so much cost” into a sustainment enterprise.

Allvin has made “agility” a defining them of his tenure as chief, and CCAs will fit that theme by making sure the Air Force is not “sunk in one particular platform for decades and decades,” he said.

With CCAs, “we want to incentivize design rather than sustainment,” Allvin said. Deciding to build CCAs as short-lived systems means “you can leverage technology and more rapidly upgrade if you change the paradigm.” He said the service plans to “broadcast that to industry,” and this approach will be central to the new Integrated Capabilities Command.

Beyond its main goals of providing “affordable mass,” and achieving air superiority in contested battlespace, the CCA program “also helps to reshape industry a bit on where we want to go as an Air Force,” Allvin said.

The Air Force sees the initial tranches of CCAs as autonomous, uncrewed aircraft that will fly in formation with crewed fighters, carry extra weapons for them, and extend the reach of their sensors. Wargames conducted over the last two years also indicate CCAs could offer a powerful support to the combat air forces if launched on their own to attack high-value targets and not directly in support of crewed fighters.   

The Air Force has gone back and forth about whether CCAs should be “attritable”—meaning they are cheap enough that USAF can easily bear their loss or use them on one-way missions—or whether they ought to be more traditionally sustained, but with frequent modular upgrades. Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall has said that, at about $30 million a copy, new CCAs will not be disposable, but that the resistance to using them on one-way missions will decline as they near the end of their useful lives.  

Allvin’s remarks follow on comments he made at a June AFA “Warfighters in Action” event, when he advocated for CCAs with limited operational lives. He said then he doesn’t want CCAs that will “last for 25 or 30 years,” arguing a longer service life would require more capability and thus more cost to make it worthwhile, limiting how many the Air Force can buy.

“How do we solve for agility?” Allvin asked at AEI. The answer is to change the Air Force’s “built to last” mantra to “built to adapt,” he said.

“Technology is moving so fast, the way we’re approaching Collaborative Combat Aircraft is being very strict with the requirements and saying we’re going to build for speed: speed to ramp and for the ability to be able to update … mission systems and modify as technology offers,” he said.

At the AFA event, he emphasized, “we aren’t building a sustainment structure” for CCAs. Ten years from now, the first CCA “won’t be as relevant, but it might be adaptable,” and that’s why the Air Force is mandating that the aircraft be modular, in order to keep them somewhat relevant.

Gen. Kenneth Wilsbach, head of Air Combat Command, said at an AFA event in July that he expects CCAs to be stored in a hangar—not in a box—and that training will take place with a small number of them. The rest will be kept in “flyable storage” in order to save on sustainment, but will also be “ready to go” at a moment’s notice, he said.

“They won’t fly that often,” he said, but pilots and other operators will practice directing CCAs in simulators, which will also save on sustainment costs.

Facing Growing Threats, Space Industry Expands Its Cyber Warning Center

Facing Growing Threats, Space Industry Expands Its Cyber Warning Center

Nov. 1, 2024 | By Shaun Waterman

The Space Information Sharing and Analysis Center, a U.S. industry-run nonprofit that helps commercial space operators share data about cyberattacks and other threats, is expanding to the U.K. and other American allies, aiming to build a global organization that will protect civilian space assets as geopolitical tensions and the dangers of extra-terrestrial war grow. 

Set up five years ago in Colorado Springs, Space ISAC has a watch center where analysts from U.S. Space Command and ISAC member companies pore over real-time data feeds recording cyberattacks, space weather events, and other potential threats to satellites, and issue bulletins for members reporting imminent dangers and suggesting defensive measures. 

”From the very beginning, given the global nature of space infrastructure, and the space environment, we anticipated that Space ISAC would be a global organization, with partners all over the world,” Sam Visner, chairman of the Space ISAC board of directors, told Air and Space Forces Magazine. 

The move to the U.K. comes as the war in Ukraine, which opened with a cyber attack against the ground terminals of U.S. satellite operator Viasat, has provided repeated demonstrations of both the centrality of commercial space capabilities to modern warfare and their fragility.  

The Space ISAC have agreements in place to expand to Australia as well, Visner said, mentioning the AUKUS framework, a trilateral security partnership between Australia, the U.K. and U.S. focused on defense technologies. Space ISAC is also looking to expand to Japan and possibly South Korea, he added, arguing that democracies have to work together in space. 

“We are allies and partners because our relationships are founded on our values,” Visner said. “There’s a lot we can gain from working with allies and partners, and we think they gain a lot from us.” 

The Space ISAC U.K. forum was established Oct. 10, Space ISAC Executive Director Erin Miller told Air and Space Forces Magazine. 

“That’s the process, first we have a forum, and then we start getting analysts assigned [to work in the watch center] and establish a [U.K.] hub for the watch center,” she said. The time difference would help extend the center’s hours of operation without having to assign analysts to work overnight. “It’s a ‘follow the sun’ model,” she said. 

In the U.S., the Space ISAC’s government partners assign analysts to work in the watch center, she said. It wasn’t clear whether that would also happen in the U.K., but there would be “bi-directional sharing” with government partners. She said that she expected U.K. members would be just as keen to assign analysts to their local watch center hub as their counterparts are in the U.S. 

“Usually they’re eager to do it,” she said, adding the posting offers unique opportunities for analysts to learn new skills and grow their knowledge base. “There’s not very many places you can go, if any, to learn cybersecurity, space, and intelligence all at the same time,” she said. 

One British executive, who wasn’t authorized to speak to the media, described the Space ISAC’s arrival in the U.K. as “the cavalry coming,” referencing the ISAC’s information-sharing portal and the other collaborative tools the organization offered. 

“We need these [collective defense] capabilities,” the executive said. 

The British military’s U.K. Space Command and its civilian counterpart, the U.K. Space Agency, through their National Space Operations Centre, provides bulletins for industry partners about space weather, space debris, and potential orbital conjunctions—where the orbital tracks of two different satellites come close enough that there’s the possibility of a collision. And the National Cyber Security Center, part of GCHQ, the British equivalent of the NSA, runs a Space Information Exchange which distributes a weekly email round up of relevant threat intelligence and cyber attack reporting. But executives say there’s no real time cyber warning service like the one Space ISAC offers available for the U.K. space sector.    

“It comes down to resources. … The government spending on space is an order of magnitude smaller than in the U.S.,” said Kevin Jones, a former RAF aviator who now works for CGI, a multinational IT services and products vendor headquartered in Canada.  

The U.S. government spent about $73 billion on space in 2023, according to Statista, out of a global spend by all governments worldwide of $117 billion. The UK government spent just $1.45 billion. 

The effects of that trickle down into the private sector, Jones explained. “In the U.S., you have the big primes, the 800-pound gorillas. In the UK, the space sector is about 1,700 companies and most of them are small- and medium-sized businesses,” he said.  

The resource issue isn’t just about money, Jones noted. “Another big difference between the UK and the U.S.o is that you have these federally funded research and development centers,” he said, referring to institutions like Mitre’s National Cybersecurity FFRDC and the Aerospace Corporation, both of which are members of the Space ISAC. “That independent advisory role is very important,” Jones said. 

CGI’s U.K. Space Defence and Intelligence business unit, which provides secure ground systems for space operators including the U.K. Space Agency and U.K. Space Command, is one of the first sign-ups for Space ISAC’s U.K. forum. 

“Obviously, we see the value in being able to contribute to and consume threat data whether it be about natural hazards or a man made cyber or electromagnetic attack against any of our systems in the space domain,” said Jones. 

CGI is sending one of its analysts to study at the University of Colorado Colorado Springs campus, taking a new course to train space information systems security officers. It’s the only training program designed to combine cybersecurity and space expertise, he said. “It’s brand new and it’s very exciting,” he said. 

The ISAC also represented a “fantastic opportunity” to learn more about the capabilities other companies were bringing to the table, said Jones. “The space sector is experiencing phenomenal growth. So keeping track of who is doing what in the sector, knowing who is bringing what to the party, that is a good value.” 

Jones added that CGI’s experience demonstrated all three of those value propositions: “We’ve raised our collective defense, because we can understand, identify and mitigate threats and attacks. We’ve improved our intellectual capacity. We’ve improved our ability to network and talk,” he said.  

Jones added that the expansion is not just timely, but badly needed.  

“Space ISAC is an industry-paid for, industry-led vehicle. Industry is taking responsibility to get after this problem,” said Jones.