Boeing Reports $67M KC-46 Charge, But Expects Tanker Program to Turn Around

Boeing Reports $67M KC-46 Charge, But Expects Tanker Program to Turn Around

Boeing will pay another $67 million out of pocket for the KC-46 program, a cost attributed to COVID-19-related cost overruns and productivity deficiencies, though company leaders say the tanker won’t be a “drag” on the company’s bottom line much longer.

In a third quarter earnings call with investors, Boeing disclosed the charge as part of an overall $6.8 billion decrease in revenue for its Defense, Space & Security division. The charge comes as the company is redesigning the tanker’s problematic remote vision system and is facing another delivery delay. However, Air Force and Boeing leaders have said the agreement on the new RVS 2.0 system, set to be installed in about three years, means there’s better news on the horizon for a tanker program that has been met with bad news at seemingly every turn in recent years.

“The tanker’s been a drag on us for three or four years in every way you can think of with respect to investors, but we are beginning to clear the hurdle with our customer with respect to performance in their fleet and their need for that tanker,” Boeing CEO David L. Calhoun said on the call.

With RVS 2.0 coming online and deliveries continuing, Calhoun said he thinks the tanker will “begin to transition next year,” becoming a strength for the company.

In addition to the KC-46, Boeing highlighted the Air Force’s order of eight F-15EXs and the eSeries designation for the eT-7A Red Hawk as highlights in its defense sector.

The impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, which are just beginning to be felt in the industry, will likely continue long into the future, and the company acknowledged it does not expect additional Pentagon spending.

“Don’t think we’re looking at that world through rose-colored glasses,” Calhoun said. “I expect real pressure on that market.”

Overall, Boeing reported $14.1 billion of revenue in the third quarter, down more than $5 billion from the third quarter of 2019. The company will likely lay off more employees, largely on its commercial side, he said.

Giving Airmen the Edge: The Promise of JADC2

Giving Airmen the Edge: The Promise of JADC2

For decades, the U.S. military relied on its dominance in the information domain to maintain its advantage in all the others—air, land, sea, space, and cyberspace.

Better intelligence meant better situational awareness. By collecting more accurate, timely data, and more rapidly delivering it to those who need it most, U.S. forces could both out-think and out-fight its enemies.

“If you can collect, share, and flow more data to more users, commanders can then make better decisions.  It’s a substantial advantage,” says Bill Conley, a former director of electronic warfare at the Pentagon and now the chief technology officer at Mercury Systems.

Increasingly, however, that historic advantage is coming under pressure. Adversaries have watched U.S. operations unfold in recent years and are catching up.

Last February, Air Combat Command boss Gen. James M. “Mobile” Holmes described just that at the Air Force Association’s Air Warfare Symposium. “We know that China has watched what we do for the last 15-20 years and has tried to come up with ways to counter that,” he said. Today, he added, sophisticated adversaries “can threaten our ability to operate in the domains we have traditionally dominated, not by challenging us in those domains, but by challenging us in this information domain.”

Winning in this new world, maintaining the U.S. decision advantage, doesn’t just mean gathering and disseminating data faster and more widely. It also means being quicker to turn that data into information — and then using that information to make better decisions with greater speed and confidence by leveraging the power of artificial intelligence.  

“You win by operating at a tempo [the enemy] can’t keep up with and by putting them on the horns of multiple dilemmas,” said Holmes. “We want to create enough options for our commanders that the enemy doesn’t know where we’re going to come from next.”

Conventional operations control each warfare domain separately. Air operations centers control air operations, while ground commanders control land forces. “[But] it takes too long to have air command and control and ground command and control and Navy command and control to get together and decide what to do,” Holmes said. “You have to put it all together.”

This combined approach is now known as Joint All-Domain Command and Control, or JADC2. By eliminating conventional stovepipes in favor of a more integrated and truly networked force, a joint command and control system can connect any shooter to any sensor at any time.

Preston Dunlap, chief data architect for the Air Force, calls it “The Internet of Military Things.”

Graphic: Air Combat Command PowerPoint slide

Enabling this combat-zone military internet are critical advances in information technology, from onboard sensors and data processors at the forward edge of the network to the power of commercial cloud computing and artificial intelligence. Mercury Systems produces the embedded systems and technologies that can leverage those capabilities and bring JADC2 from laboratory to combat reality.

“If you look at the equipment the U.S. military is using, our technology — our RF and microwave components, our signal processing, our embedded computing — is underneath the hood of nearly every radar, nearly every C4ISR system, nearly every EW system,” Conley said.

Like the commercial world, these systems are rapidly evolving. Software-defined technologies are revolutionizing how capabilities are delivered. Instead of building each system in hardware, more powerful technology, based on open systems architectures, can now implement evolving capabilities using software, rather than specialized hardware. Not only does that help to seamlessly shift from one network or technology to the next, it also allows for rapid, iterative change and improvement. Leaping across huge swathes of spectrum like that would have been unimaginable even a decade ago.

Changing frequencies on a radar or radio no longer means having to replace all the hardware, Conley said. “Now we have the ability to electronically reconfigure a piece of equipment via the network,” he explained. You can use it for a very different purpose than may have been the original purpose of that system.”

Rather than thinking of a system as a radar, Conley said, “Now it’s a sensor: It’s a collection of apertures. It’s a collection of signal processors. You can use that same equipment to gather and process multiple data streams in very different modalities to accomplish different tasks. And you can share that data, too, with other platforms.”

Whole New World

As the technology world advances, so, too, does the pace of change. Technology is developing faster than the U.S. military can buy and deploy it in weapons systems. Driven by commercial product cycles counted in months, technology can’t stand still waiting for military acquisition systems that track time in years and even decades.

The disparity threatens the long-term success of JADC2 by creating potential nightmare scenarios in which the military locks in technology choices only to see them block future innovation months or years down the road.

The pace of advancing technology has long been defined by Moore’s Law, which says the number of transistors on a chip will double every two years. That, in itself, was a challenge to military systems that are designed over decades and fielded for decades beyond that. In a software-defined world where machine learning and artificial intelligence is driven by algorithms enabled by silicon chips, capability is accelerating.

Today, AI capability is doubling every three-and-a-half months, according to data from Open.ai. In other words, a system designed on Jan. 1, 2020, will be only about one-tenth as capable as one designed a year later. After two years, it is only one percent as capable. And after a decade — the time it typically takes for a military platform to move from drawing board to fielding — that system would have only one billionth the capability of a newly designed system.

“That’s the challenge we’re up against today,” Conley says. “For JADC2 to be successful, we have to avoid that trap. We can’t lock in or we’ll fall behind.”

To avoid that fate, the systems that enable JADC2 must be built with open, modular architectures and based on open standards — enabling near-continuous upgrades from competing vendors and agile software development methodologies that ensure rapid product improvement.

Dunlap, Air Force’s chief architect, compared those modules — datasets, applications, and other software products — to Lego blocks in a recent presentation for the Air Force Association’s Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies. “They need to snap into place with each other to make this all real,” he said. So the DOD must “take its cues from the way the commercial sector has moved quickly and adapted to the digital world over the last 20 years.”

Video: AFA’s Mitchell Institute for Aerspace Studies on YouTube

Holmes has famously compared JADC2 to ride-sharing services like Lyft and Uber. “They match riders with drivers,” he said. “We talk about matching sensors with shooters with targets.”

The seamless, real-time integration that ride-sharing software offers with other apps like Google Maps shows the modular future for U.S. military systems, Dunlap said. “Underpinning all this is digital engineering: Open architecture and open standards that ensure those Lego blocks — just like real Legos — actually snap together and work.”

Advanced Battle Management Systems Demo
Preston Dunlap, Air Force chief architect, briefs Defense Department senior leaders on how the ABMS works during the first ever ABMS live demonstration at Eglin Air Force Base, Fla., Dec. 18, 2019. Photo: Tech. Sgt. Joshua J. Garcia

Mercury’s Fellow Systems Architect Matthew Alexander says the Air Force has been following just such an “open systems approach” for years, driven by the recognition that open standards developed in collaboration with industry pave the way for more choice and innovation down the road.

“It’s a multi-tier approach,” Alexander says. At the lower tiers, the sensors themselves are the focus. The Sensor Open System Architecture (SOSA) supports new capabilities for deployed equipment “much faster than was possible in the past,” Alexander said.

The middle tiers enable payloads and services on the same platform to share data seamlessly. The Open Mission Systems (OMS) standard adopted in 2014 allows sensors and weapons systems on an avionics bus (like the ubiquitous MIL-STD-1553) to communicate machine to machine.

Finally, the highest tiers establish interoperability and seamless machine-to-machine communications between platforms and across domains.

Alexander said these defense standards must leverage commercial standards and diverse working groups that bring together industry partners and competitors to achieve the best possible technical solutions with the widest possible adoption. Crucially, these systems must also be “backwards compatible” to ensure legacy equipment is not locked out of the future JADC2 capability.

“The DoD has wisely adopted an approach where you can have different levels of compliance with these standards,” Alexander explained. “Rather than saying, ‘You shall be compliant with every single requirement in this 2,000-page document,’ which would raise the barrier to entry too high and might make it impossible for legacy systems to comply, they lay down minimal compliance requirements as an initial baseline and then add more compliance requirements at higher levels.”

The result, Conley says, is a flexible framework for both vendors and their military customers, enabling the services to manage complexity and costs at the same time. “You don’t want one standard to do everything because it results in gold plating every solution, and that can become prohibitively expensive,” Conley says. Rather, the idea is to tailor the requirement to the need.

Naturally, thresholds for compliance and requirements vary from one use to another. The demands for a supersonic fighter aircraft are higher than for a car operating at less than a tenth the speed, or for a mobile phone: A dropped call on a mobile phone is inconvenient. A dropped connection in battle might cost lives.

“Obviously, the networking piece of this is challenging,” said Conley. “You can’t afford bottlenecks.”

“Call it the forward-operating cloud, or the tactical cloud or even the edge cloud,” Conley said. The operating network in battle has to operate seamlessly, at speed, without putting the user at risk. “There will be data that we get all the way up into the global cloud,” Conley said, “and there will be data that we get into the forward-operating cloud.”

An F-35A boasts some of the most advanced sensors available, as well as onboard processing to analyze and present that sensor data to its pilot. But only some of that data will be sent from the aircraft to other platforms in real time. Once back on base, the maintenance crew can download other operational data and share that as bandwidth and other demands allow.

“As we move into the future, the architectural barriers begin to break down and it’s going to become — pun intended — very foggy,” Conley says. “It won’t be easy to discern where the cloud stops and where the edge begins.”

This is where AI comes in. Pilots, as Conley puts it, “have a day job.” Already fully occupied flying the plane and engaging targets, they would benefit from AI working in the background, analyzing the huge data haul from the aircraft’s advanced sensors, and prioritizing what information the pilot could need and what can or should be shared with other nodes on the network.

In WWII, Britain’s Royal Air Force, though outnumbered five to one by the often superior German Luftwaffe, maintained air dominance thanks to the Dowding System, a real-time reporting structure that funneled information about the location of German planes from radar stations and lookout posts all over the country to Fighter Command Headquarters. There it was rapidly disseminated to local commanders who deployed intercepts to challenge the German attackers.

Back then, sharing information by telephone and recording it with grease pencils, allied air forces ushered in the information age. Today, the digital revolution continues to accelerate the decision cycles.

Yet, as Holmes notes, “it takes more than new technology to make a fundamental change in the way we fight: … A real revolution in military affairs requires a change in the way we think, as well.”

JADC2 aims to do just that. The starting point must be in how systems are engineered, not just how they’re used in battle, Mercury Systems’ Conley says. Augmenting the digital data flow with AI and other tools demands a new, adaptive approach to system design and engineering that can allow for and support the rapid release of system changes and updates as new capabilities emerge.

The spoils of victory will always go to the side that can dictate the terms of an engagement. The more one knows, the greater the advantage. Maintaining the U.S. decision advantage and the deterrent power of superior military forces is not an option, but a necessity, Conley notes. Ensuring those advantages must start with the decision to adopt open standards today.

Wilsbach on Key Takeaway from Pacific ABMS Onramp

Wilsbach on Key Takeaway from Pacific ABMS Onramp

The standout capability demonstrated the latest Valiant Shield/Advanced Battle Management System experiment in September was the detailed base-status system across the Indo-Pacific theater, according to Pacific Air Forces chief Gen. Kenneth S. Wilsbach.

The airbase status feature details which runways are open or damaged, how long repairs will take, how long sorties will be delayed taking off as a result, or where airborne aircraft should divert to, along with weather status and how full base aviation fuel tanks were, Wilsbach said at an AFA Mitchell Institute “Aerospace Nation” streaming event Oct. 27.

Video: Mitchell Institute on YouTube

The information was “significant … and not generalized,” he said. “You had a pretty good idea of what you were dealing with,” and how the availability of the bases was influencing the pace of the exercise. It was the feature Wilsbach said he’d most like to have right away, and will be important as USAF deploys to a greater number of widely separated, and sometimes austere, operating locations.

Moreover, the presentations offered “ease of use,” he said. With only a short tutorial, “they were very user-friendly.”

There were other lessons learned from the experiment; some things went well, others “not so well,” but the so-called “on-ramp” accomplished the goal of creating new knowledge, without incurring any loss of simulated people or aircraft, he said. Wilsbach noted that one of the objectives of the ABMS demos is to “take risk” and learn in the doing.

Wilsbach said U.S. allies and partners in the region are eager to cooperate on ABMS, but the biggest hurdle to overcome is how to share information that can only be shared among certain partners.

“The way we section-off” information that can be shared with some partners but not others because of classification or “No Foreign” restrictions is one of PACAF’s biggest problems to solve when it comes to ABMS, he said. In some cases, to discuss intelligence with a particular ally means going to a “separate computer, … in a separate room,” which only slows things down.

“We want to fuse that network of networks,” so the same workstations can be used all the time, and some kind of software or artificial intelligence using given rules appropriately shares information with the partners that need it, Wilsbach noted.

“We need to … let software be the gatekeeper,” he said.

The exercise included a KC-46 flying around the Hawaiian Islands—with command-and-control capabilities onboard—as well as an air operations center under a tent at Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam, Hawaii, he said. The tented AOC included troops from every service who would “huddle up” to determine the best approach to solve problems or address an unexpected threat. Sometimes “what may have been an air problem was solved with a maritime solution,” and vice versa, he reported.

He’s passed on the lessons learned to Gen. Jeffrey L. Harrigian at U.S. Air Forces in Europe-Air Forces Africa, which will be involved in the next two ABMS onramps, Wilsbach said.

Wilsbach to Allies: Learn from USAF’s Mistakes, Fly Your F-35 Like an F-35

Wilsbach to Allies: Learn from USAF’s Mistakes, Fly Your F-35 Like an F-35

Pacific Air Forces commander Gen. Kenneth S. Wilsbach has some advice for users of the F-35 in his region: Don’t use it like the aircraft you’re used to, but take advantage of its full potential.

Speaking at an AFA Mitchell Institute virtual event Oct. 27, Wilsbach said the U.S. Air Force operated the F-22 like the F-15C for “about five years,” failing to fully exploit its fifth-generation stealth and sensor fusion capabilities.

Video: Mitchell Institute on YouTube

“It took us a while to learn” what the jet could really do, he said, and now, “the tactics are completely different.” He advises the F-35 partners to use the aircraft “like an F-35,” and not like some of the high-performance fourth-generation aircraft they have been operating.

“Take advantage of the lessons learned that we’ve had,” he said. “Skip right to that … and cycle through those lessons learned that much faster. Take full advantage of the platform.”

The advice “resonates with those operators,” he said. The U.S. has F-35 exchange pilots with Australia, Japan, and Korea, and “they all learn to fly it at Luke” Air Force Base, Ariz., so the foundation exists for a good partnership on the F-35 and other interoperable systems, he asserted.

Because of the range distances involved in the Pacific, Wilsbach said the command needs lots of tankers, long-range future fighter aircraft, and long-range missiles, particularly hypersonics.

“Covering those vast distances at the fastest speeds possible,” is essential, he said. “I’ve been talking about hypersonics awhile.” Given their high mach speed, an enemy has “so little time to react” that “even if they do … their defensive systems have a hard time hitting a target that’s going that fast.”

Stealth will also continue to be essential “to get inside of [an adversary’s] network and sensors undetected, so that they don’t know that they’re there, or when they do figure it out, it’s too late.”

China has pushed ahead of Russia militarily, Wilsbach said, so the Air Force should use Chinese capabilities as “the pacing threat.” If USAF can deal with anything China can do, it will then be able to “by default … compete with” Russia, North Korea, Iran, or other adversaries.

Despite the close-call intercepts USAF has experienced with Russia in the Arctic and other places in recent months, Wilsbach said he’s not having similar problems in PACAF.

There’s “quite a bit” of intercepting going on, he said, but “for the most part, those intercepts are safe, both for the Chinese and the Russians.” He added, “Ours are always professional and safe.”

As to the pace of intercepts, Wilsbach reported they occur “not every day, but many times a week. As we fly near China or when we do fly near Russia, we do get intercepted.”

Brown: JADC2 Means DOD Must Rethink How it Targets, Oversees Combat Operations

Brown: JADC2 Means DOD Must Rethink How it Targets, Oversees Combat Operations

The military needs to rethink the way it develops and approves strikes in combat and possibly restructure component commands as the Air Force-led joint all-domain command and control effort to connect sensors and shooters in real time takes root, Chief of Staff Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr said.

The Advanced Battle Management System demonstrations this year, in which dozens of aircraft and sensors feed into a cloud-based picture of a battlefield, shows that the established way of selecting targets and fires is too slow and cumbersome to be effective in the future.

Under current doctrine, a Joint Targeting Coordination Board composed of several officials, including military leaders, representatives from external agencies, multinational partners, and subject matter experts from areas such as intelligence and operations, develops targeting priorities. But if the military can bring together its sensor and shooter information instantaneously, “We’re not going to be able to have boards with humans in the loop that actually sit down and kind of validate targets,” Brown said during a virtual National Defense Industry Association conference on JADC2.

Instead, as the military develops JADC2, it needs to write its algorithms to take into account the risk associated with targets and the best weapon system to use to strike.

“It requires some thought process for us to build the algorithms, so we can put them into the system and it goes through and says in real time, ‘If you find that target and it meets all of that criteria, then you’re able to engage it,’” Brown said.

There needs to be human involvement, just not at the scale of a targeting board of several officials, Brown added. A human presence “on the loop” watching the target development can confirm it “using some human judgment. But that’s the way you can move faster, so you’re really doing almost a Joint Targeting Coordination Board in real time, using the tools to actually provide options,” he said.

If the JADC2 vision comes to fruition and is used in deployed areas, there needs to be a discussion on “how we organize ourselves,” Brown said. For example, will there still be a need for separate air, land, and sea component commanders if the goal is to fuse all sensors and shooters from each domain?

“Because each of those component commanders need to understand all of those domains,” Brown said. “They may have expertise in their domain, but they’ve got to understand them all in order to be effective.”

The Air Force within the past year has led the charge to joint all-domain command and control, largely with three ABMS “on-ramp” experiments. The second event in August, for example, brought together dozens of sensors and different shooters such as USAF aircraft, Army artillery, and Navy ships, to down a cruise missile threat.

The on-ramps have shown that the defense industry has a large role to play in this evolution, especially since “non-traditional” companies can provide different capabilities in the realms of cloud-based software and communications, for example. The Air Force wants to show it can move beyond the typical acquisition process to move faster and bring in new companies that can translate successful systems already in use in the commercial world for the military.

Brown said companies now need to take into account this broad outreach, and develop weapons systems that can talk with others in a joint language instead of operating in a proprietary way. The Air Force “doesn’t want to spend money on a system that doesn’t connect,” he said.

New systems need to be updated regularly, like mobile software that can be updated on the fly. “What we don’t want to do is build a one-off. We actually should build something that can be upgraded fairly quickly, can be adaptive, it can stay with the times,” Brown said. These systems should use 5G because, “We don’t want to actually still be on 3G and 4G and everybody else is on 5G, and we wonder why things are taking so long, and we’ll get that blue spinning circle on our computers.”

The Space Force’s Need for Speed

The Space Force’s Need for Speed

If the U.S. Space Force is going to be successful in a domain that makes the Indo-Pacific area of operations look small, speed is key. That’s why Chief of Space Operations Gen. John W. “Jay” Raymond said his service will play a leading role in the Defense Department’s digital transformation.

“If you look at the operations that happen in that domain—whether it’s military operations, commercial operations, civil operations, intelligence operations—those operations happen at a speed that is way faster than anything that happens on the sea, or on the land, or in the air,” Raymond said Oct. 27 during a National Defense University webinar. “We’re talking about objects in space traveling 17,500 miles an hour just to stay in orbit.”

When China blew up its own satellite in 2007, it took just minutes for that missile to go from the ground to low Earth orbit. “And so, you can’t operate in that domain—in a contested space domain—without the tools and capabilities,” such as robotics and artificial intelligence, needed to make decisions in such a high-speed environment.

Speed is also at play in deploying systems. Raymond said autonomy and reusability will give the Space Force a “significant advantage.”

A Pentagon policy paper released earlier this month said the Pentagon must transform into a “digitally savvy military” that is “fueled by groundbreaking technology” to “exploit information.

A Pentagon policy paper released earlier this month said the Pentagon must transform into a “digitally savvy military” that is “fueled by groundbreaking technology” to “exploit information.” Raymond said the Space Force will be “on the front line” of those efforts. It is building a digital headquarters staffed by personnel who are “fluent in digital,” he said, and where digital engineering will be the standard for all acquisitions.

It’s unacceptable to take five or six years to build a “clone” of an existing capability already on orbit, Raymond said. The Space Force must leverage growing commercial space technology and insist on digital engineering from the beginning.

Doctrine must also evolve. Ever since space capabilities were first integrated into the fight during Desert Storm, space has been a way to “make the other domains better,” he said. Now, he says, it must be more.

“If you look at how we’ve integrated, there’s nothing we do as a joint and coalition force today that isn’t enabled by that integration,” Raymond said. “The challenge is that our adversaries have had a front-row seat, and they are developing threats to deny us that advantage. So it’s no longer good enough to just think about space as a benign domain … you have to treat it as a warfighting domain.”

In other words, he said, the Space Force must “look at what else [it] can do besides just making the other domains more effective.”

New AMC Boss Outlines Strategy, Changes to Accelerate

New AMC Boss Outlines Strategy, Changes to Accelerate

Air Mobility Command must accelerate change by developing a force prepared for a high-end fight, advancing new capabilities beyond the traditional role of the heavy aircraft, embracing the role in ferrying the joint force forward, and ensuring the nation’s nuclear mission can be fueled and ready, the new leader of the command said.

AMC boss Gen. Jacqueline D. Van Ovost, who took over the command in August, used a keynote address at the virtual Airlift/Tanker Association conference on Oct. 27 to announce AMC’s new strategy, which follows in the footsteps of new Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr.’s “Accelerate Change, or Lose” directive.

“Now we need to focus and accelerate the command into the future,” Van Ovost said. “Required in this change is greater integration across the services and increased collaboration with all stakeholders to deny our adversaries any seams to exploit.”

The AMC strategy focuses on four key areas, with the first being developing leaders who will be effective in this new era.

“You will be the ones coming up with new operational concepts, you will be the ones rapidly integrating current and emerging technologies, and you will be the ones executing, leading, and making tough decisions in dynamic, ambiguous, and uncertain environments,” Van Ovost said. “You are the strength of this command. We are going to build, train, develop, and sharpen the force for the future high-end fight.”

AMC will focus on resiliency of Airmen to recover and adapt from difficult situations, and develop leaders of “strong character” who will be courageous and focused on the fight.

“Developing the people, concepts, and capabilities that will win against aggressive competitors across the competition continuum must remain at the forefront of our minds and be the lens through which we view everything we do,” she said.

As the broader Air Force continues its push for Agile Combat Employment, AMC will focus on developing Airmen who are multicapable in jobs beyond their main Air Force Specialty Code—a key tenet of the ACE concept. These Airmen will be effective both at a large home base and at small, open-air austere locations. The command will also look to develop Airmen who are digitally adept, with a “foundational knowledge” of emerging technology.

“We can’t capitalize on game-changing capabilities if we don’t even know they exist,” she said. “We must build awareness of the digital environment and bring those capabilities into our problem-solving processes.”

Secondly, the command needs to advance its own “warfighting capabilities” by first being realistic about how the world has changed. “We have to be clear-eyed about the fact that rapid advances in technology have allowed our adversaries to degrade our military competitive advantages,” she said, adding that AMC “can’t assume sanctuary at our bases, especially in multiple domains and command and control.”

“What we do is a physics problem—delivering, refueling, recovering, and enabling,” she said. “We have to advance our ability to beat the physics. Strive toward achieving information and decision dominance by leveraging sensors, information clouds, advanced digital infrastructures, and data analytics.”

Third, AMC as U.S. Transportation Command’s air component serves a key role in delivering joint forces, such as rapidly flying an Army division to the Middle East to respond to an imminent threat like the 82nd Airborne Division’s activation early this year. To effectively serve this mission, the command needs to ensure it can operate in contested environments, through effective exercises and high-end training, so other services can rely on AMC’s capability to deliver them.

Additionally, AMC needs to develop new ways to contribute to a fight. Specifically, Van Ovost highlighted new capabilities on AMC aircraft, such as meshed communication networks on tankers and the ability to deploy munitions or attritable aircraft aboard airlifters, as ways the command can contribute more to a fight.

Lastly, AMC needs to focus on its “no-fail” mission of strategic deterrence.

“With the re-emergence of great power competition, focused efforts and aggressive actions by other nations to modernize, expand, and develop nuclear capabilities, and the increased salience of nuclear forces in their strategies and plans, our nation now faces a more diverse and advanced nuclear threat environment than ever before.”

The command’s role focuses on assured air refueling and airlift support to nuclear forces while also enabling global diplomacy by carrying the country’s senior leaders. Going forward, making credible capacity in its tanker fleet is a top priority. This includes upgrading legacy tankers such as the KC-135 and bringing on the KC-46, which is both late and facing capability issues. Additionally, the command will “aggressively pursue” upgrades to command posts, aircraft, and its 618th Air Operations Center to ensure it will stay connected.

“These are no-fail missions for us and we will prioritize our ability to continue to execute regardless of the environment because we use deterrence daily to ensure America’s freedoms and way of life are protected,” Van Ovost said.

Roper: Air Force Shopping for ‘Skyshots’

Roper: Air Force Shopping for ‘Skyshots’

The Air Force is looking for “Skyshot” ideas—those short of a massive “Moon Shot” technology push, but much more than “baby steps” toward disruptive new technologies—that will spur industry while building relationships between the service and innovative startups, said department acquisition chief Will Roper.

In a streaming “Ask Me Anything” program, Roper said the new project will be akin to the already-underway “Agility Prime” effort, in which the Air Force is looking to develop a “flying car” technology potentially applicable to future, unmanned logistics or rescue of downed Airmen behind enemy lines. The Oct. 26 program solicited ideas for the next initiative, which will be announced at an AFWERX program in December.

Addressing small businesses, he said USAF is looking to “get you off the ground and help you take flight.” The projects the Air Force is looking for are not necessarily quick-turnaround ideas but “deep tech” that will have long-lasting, game-changing effects. The service will have the “patience” for sustained investment where the commercial capital market may not, he said, noting the Air Force can be a “de-risker” in the process.

Responding to chat messages, Roper said USAF would be interested in navigational alternatives to GPS; perhaps something that uses GoogleEarth-like data to recognize position from surrounding terrain. It’s also interested in all manner of hypersonics and has put some money toward a small company pursuing a hypersonic executive transport. The Air Force can be an incubator of such technologies, he said, noting that a hypersonic surveillance platform could work out the bugs in a future passenger-carrying system.

Other ideas Roper showed interest in were energy systems, including small nuclear powerplants; networks of new kinds of sensors, and “next-generation stealth,” which may be achieved by fooling the enemy’s artificial intelligence algorithms hooked up to its sensors, rather than reducing an aircraft’s signature.

The Air Force has no designs on owning the intellectual property derived from such investments, he said, but would perhaps want a time window where it can use the technology first, before it is commercially available.

Quantum-enabled technologies have “great potential” for Skyshots, he said, with application in computing and encryption, but also with sensing. He’s particularly interested in sensors that can “look around corners” or detect something “with a single photon” or “gravimeters” that can detect very heavy objects.

Operational artificial intelligence is another fertile area, he said, noting that USAF recently uploaded new AI software to a U-2 spy plane while it was flying an operational mission.

“We need AI hardened against adversary threats,” and “algorithmic” warfare capabilities for both defense and offense, he said. It’s a sure bet that if USAF deploys AI, an enemy “will try to break it.” This represents a “great opportunity” for small businesses.

The Air Force needs 3D printing capabilities that can yield flight-critical hardware, also, Roper said, and he’s looking for companies that can predictably certify that 3D methods using a variety of methods, machines, and materials in the same printed part will meet specifications.

“If you can solve that problem, … that has a huge return on investment,” Roper observed.

Digital engineering and digital manufacturing also represent a way to bring jobs back to the U.S. that are not affected by the availability of “cheap labor” overseas, Roper said. And “it’s not one-to-one coming back … it’s smarter, it’s more adaptable, and tailorable.”   

The Air Force also isn’t interested only in traditional aerospace-related technologies such as exotic materials, for which it’s “always a customer,” Roper said, but in biological technology as well.

The U.S. “wasn’t ready for a crisis like COVID-19, and we need to be ready … for one that’s maliciously created,” Roper asserted, because the reaction to COVID-19 has shown a pandemic is a great distraction if an adversary wants to do something “that normally wouldn’t be allowed on the world stage.”

The Pentagon “is not ready” for another pandemic, and “this is an area where I need companies and investors to bring us big ideas and opportunities,” Roper said. While the Army usually handles such activities, that doesn’t “obviate” the Air Force from thinking about them, he said.

“What I’ve learned about … synthetic biology and gene editing” in responding to COVID, “makes me think the next strategic attack on the U.S. is not likely to be from conventional or nuclear weapons, but from ones we’ve never seen … before, except in great pandemics, but might have characteristics that pandemics of the past never had,” Roper said. “And if we’re not ready for that kind of crisis, then this current one has taught us nothing.”

Roper also said USAF is going to shift its process of answering operational needs away from traditional processes and towards speedier ones where new technologies are pushed toward operators.

“Right now, we’re driven from a requirement to a solution,” Roper said, where the operating parameters are stated by the user, and are “based on the warfighter understanding what they need.” But, “with technology changing so rapidly, it doesn’t make sense anymore.” The process “should shift from being requirements-based to being opportunity-based.”

If systems are “open,” meaning they can easily be reconfigured or reprogrammed, “then I don’t have to have a requirement from warfighters to bring them opportunities; things they didn’t even know they needed.”

During his time in the “classified acquisition system,” running the Pentagon’s Strategic Capabilities Office, “I think I created 53 or so capabilities; not a single one was requirements-driven,” Roper noted. “They were all opportunities that were either produced by industry or some strategist and then we found industry that could make them. We took it to a warfighter and they said, ‘absolutely.’ So that’s how this process will work.”

He said USAF is open to all such pitches—“bring them to us”—and said AFWERX “open topic solicitations … is the standard way to get us ideas.” He’s especially looking for commercial technology with potential dual-use applications that are not obvious.

Bug-Spraying C-130s Deploy to Louisiana

Bug-Spraying C-130s Deploy to Louisiana

The Air Force activated the military’s only large, fixed-wing pest control aircraft to help areas recovering from hurricanes and heavy rains.

The C-130s from the 910th Airlift Wing at Youngstown Air Reserve Station, Ohio, deployed to Barksdale Air Force Base, La., on Oct. 20 for several days to support Environmental Protection Agency-registered aerial spray to control mosquitos that thrive in post-storm conditions across the state. The C-130s are the military’s only aircraft equipped with the Modular Aerial Spray System.

“Our military men and women are privileged to be able to assist the interagency team and people of Louisiana as they recover from the recent hurricanes Delta and Laura,” said Lt. Gen. Kirk S. Pierce, commander of First Air Force (Air Forces Northern), in a release.

The unit is expected to spray in Acadia, Calcasieu, Cameron, Iberia, Jeff Davis, Lafayette, and Vermillion parishes in Louisiana, according to the release. The aircrew use night vision equipment to fly their missions during dusk and nighttime hours when the insects are active, and “the 910th’s men and women are longtime pros at the mission,” Pierce said.

This mission is the first time the unit has been activated for storm response since they treated 1.4 million acres impacted by Hurricane Harvey in 2014, according to the release.

Similar to the Modular Airborne Fire Fighting System flown by other Guard and Reserve C-130 units, the MASS is a roll-on system that releases the spray from the rear of the C-130. In addition to targeting the insects, the aircraft can also assist with clearing vegetation and in the dispersal of oil spills.

The 910th Airlift Wing flies four-propeller C-130Hs for the mission, though Air Force Reserve Command indicated early this year it intends to replace the aircraft with newer C-130J models.