Replicator ‘on Track’ to Field Thousands of Cheap Drones Within Months

Replicator ‘on Track’ to Field Thousands of Cheap Drones Within Months

Dec. 12, 2024 | By John A. Tirpak

The first iteration of the Pentagon’s Replicator initiative should achieve its goals of providing thousands of cheap, autonomous platforms in all combat domains by July 2025, the deputy director of the Defense Innovation Unit said Dec. 12.

Aditi Kumar, speaking at the Hudson Institute, said Replicator—the signature initiative of Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks—was planned as a two-year campaign and, after starting in September 2023, should meet its objectives on time.

“We’re in good shape” to provide “multiple thousands of attritable, autonomous systems in multiple domains” within eight months, Kumar said. “Our acquisition enterprise is sprinting, and our commercial vendors are sprinting, to pull these off of the production lines and get them into the hands of the warfighter.”

Replicator was also meant to improve and speed up the Pentagon’s acquisition processes, Kumar added, and the fact that the it will meet its deadline is a positive sign on that front.

A second iteration of Replicator, dubbed Replicator 2 and announced by Hicks in September, is “going to be focused on doing exactly the same thing,” but this time focused on a counter-drone capability.

“So now we’re executing both in parallel,” Kumar said.

Lessons from the first Replicator push are already starting to inform the second. Kumar cited one lesson as the need for transparency and consistent communications with industry about “what exactly we’re going after,” and when.

For example, Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III announced the Pentagon’s new counter-unmanned system strategy last week, and DIU officials have already held subsequent roundtables with industry and investors to clarify “our demand signal and the types of systems and capabilities that we will be pursuing” with Replicator 2, Kumar said.

“I think that will get us off on the right foot and accelerating quickly with the commercial sector as our partners,” she said.

A second lesson learned is to “start early on the hardest problems, which in many cases are the software problems.” For Replicator 1, “we’re doing a whole host of things related to collaborative autonomy and command and control,” and for Replicator 2, command and control is once again a key challenge.

A third lesson is “early and frequent communications with Congress,” Kumar said. DIU leadership has been on Capitol Hill explaining “what Replicator 2 looks like, what types of capabilities we’re looking to field and in what locations, so that there are early supporters as we think about funding this enormous challenge.”

Asked what the DIU has learned from the Ukraine war, Kumar said combat experience is driving Ukraine to update the software of its systems on increasingly short timelines.

Ukraine’s experience has “been very helpful to us,” demonstrating that “software upgrades need to happen on a three- to four-week timeline, which is incredibly fast and has a cost,” she said. Historically, she said, the Pentagon has not funded software aggressively or pushed updates quickly. That has to change with “significantly different types and magnitude of investment.”

This approach will also help with “some of the paralysis” services sometimes have in committing to a new system because they fear that once they buy it, it will be quickly overtaken by technology or the threat, she said.

Kumar said the big challenges with Replicator and other future systems is ensuring “collaborative” interaction between autonomous systems, and the command-and-control apparatus that links joint systems, so they can cue other services’ platforms and provide situational awareness for the joint enterprise.

Air Force Replicator

While the Air Force did not have systems included in the first round of Replicator systems, Hicks announced a “Replicator 1.2,” or “second tranche” of the Replicator program on Nov. 13. These new systems are meant to “add to the first tranche of selected systems announced earlier in 2024” and are also geared toward an August 2025 fielding target.

The Air Force’s Enterprise Test Vehicle was included in the second tranche, and the service will partner with the DIU and “multiple vendors to develop and demonstrate design variants.” The four companies involved are Anduril Industries; Integrated Solutions for Systems, Inc.; Leidos Dynetics; and Zone 5 Technologies. Selected ETV prototypes will be “accelerated to scaled production,” the Pentagon said in a release accompanying Hicks’ announcement.

Air Force Vice Chief of Staff Gen. James Slife said the ETV’s modular design and open system architecture “make it an ideal platform for program offices to test out new capabilities at the subsystem level, reducing risk and demonstrating various options for weapon system employment.”

Hicks said Replicator is “demonstrably reducing barriers to innovation, and delivering capabilities to warfighters at a rapid pace.” She also said that of the more than 500 companies that were considered Replicator contracts, more than 30 received them, and of those, some 75 percent are “nontraditional defense contractors.”

Counter-Drone

It remains to be seen whether an Air Force program will be included in Replicator 2, but the service is likely to have some interest in the project. Officials say the Air Force needs to take on the counter-UAS and air defense missions because its Agile Combat Employment model—which will spread out small Air Force units across a wide number of small and austere airfields—will require more air defense assets than the Army seems able to provide. Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall recently said he’s “comfortable” taking over air defense “as an organic mission” from the Army.

Ravi Chaudhury, assistant secretary of the Air Force for energy, installations, and the environment, hinted at future developments on that front at an AFA Warfighters in Action event on Dec. 11

“We’re busy putting together what that’s going to look like going forward,” he said. ” … More to follow” but “we’re talking about it very, very intently and deliberately at the Pentagon to decide what we’re going to do about our installations and this particular challenge,” and that there may be something to announce “in the not too distant future.”

KC-135 Crews Get Distinguished Flying Cross for Helping Fend Off Iranian Drones

KC-135 Crews Get Distinguished Flying Cross for Helping Fend Off Iranian Drones

Dec. 12, 2024 | By David Roza

Two dozen KC-135 crew members have received the Distinguished Flying Cross for helping refuel the fighters that shot down 80 drones and missiles Iran fired at Israel on April 13.

Most recently, 11 Airmen from the Tennessee Air National Guard’s 134th Air Refueling Wing received the awards Dec. 7. Seven Airmen from McConnell Air Force Base, Kans., got theirs in August; and six from MacDill Air Force Base, Fla., were decorated in July.

The DFC recognizes acts of heroism or extraordinary achievement in the air and is the military’s fourth-highest award for heroism, separate from distinguished service medals.

Eight months ago, Iran launched some 300 ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and one-way attack drones at Israel. U.S. F-15E Strike Eagle crews deployed to the Middle East at the time scrambled to intercept the weapons, but it was a chaotic environment, Maj. Clayton Wicks, an F-15E operations supervisor that night, told Air & Space Forces Magazine in November.

“I was like, ‘Oh my gosh. Command and control can’t keep up with the amount of missiles that are being shot and things that are happening,’” he said.

The tanker crews had to fly into that hectic airspace aboard aging KC-135s that lack the onboard defensive systems and advanced situational awareness tools of their fighter colleagues. They were not targeted by air-to-air or surface-to-air weapons, but there was always a chance they could be, said one of the Tennessee pilots, Maj. Cody Gaby.

“When it comes to a dynamic environment like that night, you can never rule it out,” he told Air & Space Forces Magazine. “We didn’t expect it, but with the lack of those systems we truly didn’t know where those missiles were being directed towards. It’s an uneasy feeling but that is the job.”

Airmen from the 134th Air Refueling Wing prepare a KC-135 Stratotanker to take off from Larissa Air Base in Larissa, Greece on June 18th, 2023, (U.S. National Guard photo by Senior Airman Ben Cash)

The tanker crews relied on each other and their partners across the airspace to “paint the battlefield picture” and deconflict, Gaby explained.

“Luckily, we train for this and there being other Tennessee crews in the area, we worked together seamlessly,” he said.

The 11 Tennessee Airmen flew three KC-135s with a crew of three each, while the other two flew with crews from other units. Each of the Tennessee crews flew a single sortie lasting six to nine hours, during which they refueled multiple aircraft, often multiple times, Gaby said. When the base from which the F-15Es launched came under attack, the KC-135s kept the fighters airborne, where they were relatively safer.

“It was a constant dialogue between the tankers, fighters and [command and control] to make sure they got what they needed and we were there to support them,” he said.

Eleven Airmen from the 134th Air Refueling Wing receive the Distinguished Flying Cross on December 7, 2024 at a ceremony on McGhee Tyson Air National Guard Base, Knoxville, Tenn. (U.S. Air National Guard photo by Senior Airman Ben Cash)

Tanker crews rarely face the unique challenges that merit such a high-level award. The criteria for the DFC states that “both heroism and achievement must be entirely distinctive, involving operations that are not routine. This award is not awarded for sustained operational activities and flights.”

For example, four KC-135 crew members were awarded DFCs for a 1999 mission over Kosovo during Operation Allied Force. The crew flew into harm’s way to refuel A-10s running on fumes in the middle of a search-and-rescue operation after an F-117 was shot down. The tankers operated well below the minimum altitude for their refueling tracks, exposing them to surface-to-air missiles.

The DFC citation for the tankers in the Iran operation said “the crews found themselves in the direct line of fire after two regional adversaries launched a coordinated offensive attack on a critical ally of the United States.” 

The citation goes on to describe how the crews maintained their composure, relayed vital command and control information, and offloaded tens of thousands of pounds of gas while evading airborne threats without defensive systems or situational awareness. 

“The aircrew knew the risks,” one of the tanker pilots, Lt. Col. Willis Parker, said in a press release. “But as tanker crews, we’re the lifeline for the fighters. If we don’t do our job, they can’t do theirs.”

Airmen from the 22nd Air Refueling Wing stand for the national anthem during a medal ceremony Aug. 16, 2024, at McConnell Air Force Base, Kansas. Airmen from the 350th Air Refueling Squadron were presented with the Distinguished Flying Cross for their combat missions in the U.S. Air Forces Central area of responsibility. U.S Air Force photo by Senior Airman William Lunn
Space Force Is Testing AI to Automate Ops—and Eyeing More 

Space Force Is Testing AI to Automate Ops—and Eyeing More 

Dec. 12, 2024 | By Greg Hadley

ORLANDO, Fla.—The Space Force is flying new command and control software on experimental satellites that automates some functions for ops crews, the head of the Space Rapid Capabilities Office said this week. 

Dubbed R2C2 for Rapid and Resilient Command and Control, the software is among a wave of new applications that employ artificial intelligence to automate space operations, leaders said here at the Spacepower Conference. 

Automation is the No. 1 technology the U.S. needs to gain and maintain space superiority, said Kelly D. Hammett, head of the Space Rapid Capabilities Office  

“My answer is going to be automation, and automation of the front end of kill chains,” he said in response to a question. “Having early knowledge of local and further-away threats that are tracking, targeting, getting ready to attack you, I think, is one of the key technology areas where we have some significant gaps.”

Hammet said automation is key for speed, and it will require a level of trust that may surprise some people. “We can’t have men in the loop responding to those things, because of the speed and scale at which we’ll have to respond,” he explained. “So we have to be able to automate some of those things and trust that they can respond on their own when they see that they’re going to be destroyed, attacked, threatened, and not have to have Guardians in the loop on that.” 

In a subsequent roundtable with reporters, Hammett said his office is investing in R2C2, a program that started in earnest when 20 companies were picked earlier this year to work on it. He said it is already producing capability. 

“This fall, we have already established live contacts with flying satellites down at Kirtland through the experimental systems that are flying through the [Innovation and Prototyping Acquisition Delta],” Hammett said. “We have migrated R2C2 onto the ops floor there, and the intent is to fly some of the further experimental satellites … and eventually all the flying systems for Delta 9, the orbital warfare delta.” “

R2C2 is designed for dynamic space operations, in which satellites must move frequently to dodge threats, gather data, rendezvous to refuel, and more. 

Yet as the number of satellites in orbit grows, the risk of of collisions also rises—as do potential threats from adversaries. Hammett noted that SpaceX has had to perform thousands of automated maneuvers to protect its Starlink satellites. 

R2C2 can help with that, especially as the ratio of satellites to operators keeps rising, challenging Guardians to maintain control. 

“The core services of our R2C2 include automated mission planning. You can schedule out a contact or a conjunction maneuver, if you would like to,” Hammett said. “You can plan all that out in an automated sequence. You can run a variety of cases and situations, decide the one you want, and then press the button and it’ll upload a mission profile that says, ‘Go, conduct a series of maneuvers to go conduct a mission’ versus ‘I’m going to talk to you. Turn this on. Turn left, turn right. Go five inches, report back to me.’ We’ll automate maneuvers and events.” 

The National Reconnaissance Office is also looking at automation. In a separate panel discussion, T.J. Lincoln of the NRO’s Mission Operations Directorate said he has been pushing automation for years.  

“Anything I can [automate] in a day of the life of operations, it absolutely is essential,” Lincoln said. “We’ve done that and already gone from, let’s say, 17 folks on a crew to three operating an entire constellation,” Lincoln said. “That’s pretty amazing. So automation is absolutely incredibly important today.” 

It will only grow more so as the NRO launches dozens of new satellites in a proliferated low-Earth orbit constellation, Lincoln said.

The Space Development Agency is also building a proliferated set of constellations. SDA director Derek M. Tournear said in a speech that autonomous operations will be a key feature in “Tranche 4” of SDA’s Proliferated Space Architecture, scheduled to start launching in 2030. 

Other Uses

While Hammett and Tournear look to develop and acquire autonomous ops technology, Space Force commanders today also see the need for artificial intelligence and automation in their work—and some early glimpses of the benefits. 

“The simple truth is that in order to operate at the speed we need to, we’re going to need to leverage all of the … machine learning capability that we can, and then smartly integrate AI tools and applications when they are ready,” said Lt. Gen. Stephen N. Miller Jr., head of Space Operations Command. 

Brig. Gen. Anthony J. Mastalir, head of Space Forces Indo-Pacific, said his team is also experimenting with artificial intelligence products and “indirectly” using them in operations. 

“We are running a pilot that’s called TacSRT—tactical surveillance, reconnaissance and tracking—and some of the vendors that are contributing to that pilot are working on AI/machine learning applications to better understand what that commercial imagery is showing,” Mastalir said. 

Chief of Space Operations Gen. B. Chance Saltzman said one job where AI and automation is critically needed is space domain awareness 

“We get enough data—but we [still] get so much data that our analysts are overwhelmed anyway,” Saltzman said. “The ability for a machine to collect all the data, process the data, and tell the analyst what’s most … high priority, and structure that data in a way that they can make the decision they need— think that’s ripe for software engineering and artificial intelligence.” 

The volume of data that needs to be processed and sorted automatically continues to grow—and as it does, operators run the risk of missing something and making a critical mistake, Miller warned. 

“The only way to get this done is through automation and fusion,” Miller said. Failing that, “there’s so much data presented that the person who is processing picks their favorite rather than leveraging the suite.” But the Space Force doesn’t want individuals to pick and choose. “We want to leverage all of that and access and open up the enterprise to all of that data,” Miller said, then notify operators automatically when changes in orbit or other concerns arise.  

Spectrum Warfare Wing Boss on the Hunt for Tools to Reprogram F-35 and Others Faster

Spectrum Warfare Wing Boss on the Hunt for Tools to Reprogram F-35 and Others Faster

Dec. 12, 2024 | By Shaun Waterman

NATIONAL HARBOR, Md.—Col. Larry Fenner Jr., the commander of the Air Force’s only Spectrum Warfare Wing, came to the Association of Old Crows electronic warfare trade show looking for tools he can use to automate key parts of his mission workload. He’s going to have to keep looking. 

“I’ve seen a lot of promising tools that are coming out here, but I’m not sold yet,” he told Air & Space Forces Magazine on the sidelines of the conference. “I’m going to do a little bit more engagement and see what solutions industry has available… to make me go faster and optimize my reprogramming process.” 

That process—reprogramming the Mission Data Files, or MDFs, for modern warplanes—is one of the core missions of Fenner’s unit, the 350th Spectrum Warfare Wing, based out of Eglin Air Force in Florida. MDFs are the brains of a fifth-generation warplane like the F-35, helping its systems distinguish friend from foe by their electromagnetic signatures and programming its EW equipment with the latest data about enemy EW tactics. 

Historically, Fenner said, reprogramming was run as an “industrial model … maybe annually or semi–annually.” The 350th SWW was set up in 2021 in part to speed that up and made the process relevant in a shooting war. 

“Our goal is to always go faster,” he said, “It will never be fast enough for me.” 

U.S. Air Force Col. Larry Fenner Jr., 350th Spectrum Warfare Wing commander, speaks on panel at the Inaugural Mitchell Institute Futures Forum in Arlington, VA., Nov. 13 2024. U.S. Air Force photo by Capt. Benjamin Aronson

Although Fenner declined to give any specifics about the current reprogramming cycle, a U.S. Navy press release in October noted that the 513th Electronic Warfare Squadron, which falls under the 350th, had “cut days off our timeline” for reprogramming MDFs for U.S. Marine Corps F-35. The squadron helped “compressed the production timeline by half,” the release stated.

Force commanders set the operational tempo, Fenner said, “and what we’re trying to do with the reprogramming cycle is to be able to keep up with whatever tempo they set.” He said his job was to “revolutionize the rapid reprogramming process so that if the Air Component Commander gives us a short timeline, we need to be able to stress the system to be able to accommodate that.” 

The current process relies on data from sensors carried by the F-35 and other aircraft, sent back after they land to reprogramming centers in the U.S., where they’re pored over by engineers. “They do the deep dive analysis on what information’s changed,” Fenner explained. “Is it significant enough to push into a Mission Data File [update]? And if it is, they do the re-engineering … and pushing it back out to the warfighter, so that they have the latest information to sense, identify, locate and counter” enemy EW. 

Automating the first part of that process—identifying and isolating novel or anomalous data back in the reprogramming centers—is at the top of the list of immediate capabilities Fenner is looking for. ”That would be a huge win,” he said. 

Beyond that, he said, he’s looking for “game-changing” capabilities that would identify such anomalies “at the forward edge” during a mission and “kick that back to reprogramming centers airborne, so by the time they land, we’ve already rolled up our sleeves and are taking a look.”

He said he hasn’t seen such capabilities available yet, but added, “I’ve only been in the chair for a short period of time.” Fenner took command of the 350th SWW in July. 

If he did find such a tool, Fenner said, he wouldn’t be able to buy it. “I can advocate. If I see a capability or solution out there that is going to help us, I can advocate for it. … But that’s where we have our break, because I can advocate only, but I’m not part of the acquisition process.”  

Customer Base

Because the F-35 is a joint coalition aircraft, MDFs have to be reprogrammed not just for the Air Force, but for other U.S. military services and allied air forces. Fenner has a multiservice and multinational customer base. 

“Spectrum is inherently joint,” he said, “because everybody has equities in the spectrum.”

The 513th Electronic Warfare Squadron runs reprogramming for all the U.S. services. Made up of Air Force, Navy, and Marine Corps military, civilian, and contractor personnel, the 513th leads operations at the United States Reprogramming Laboratory, which provides MDFs for the F-35. 

Eglin is also home to the 80 Squadrons of the Royal Australian Air Force and the British Royal Air Force, formerly known as the Australian, Canadian and United Kingdom Reprogramming Laboratory, or ACURL, which develops, verifies, and validates F-35 MDFs for the three NATO allies. 

“We incorporate our allies and partners in our exercises and share the data that we have to make sure that we’re all moving forward on the same page,” said Fenner. 

China’s Orbital Maneuvers Have Space Force Leaders Seeking Better Options

China’s Orbital Maneuvers Have Space Force Leaders Seeking Better Options

Dec. 11, 2024 | By Greg Hadley

ORLANDO, Fla.—Chinese satellites in geosynchronous orbit are maneuvering at high rates, practicing orbital warfare techniques, studying other spacecraft, and testing new ways to evade threats—and Space Force and industry leaders warn the U.S. must learn to maneuver in response. 

Since 2010, the People’s Republic of China has launched nearly 1,000 satellites, noted Space Force Chief Master Sgt. Ronald Lerch. But it’s not just volume that’s troubling, he said. Citing “shenanigans in GEO,” he and fellow panelist Clint Clark from the space domain awareness firm Exoanalytics warned of escalating risk.

“China doesn’t sit still,” Clark said. “They’re all over the sky.” 

Maneuvering in geosynchronous orbit is particularly unusual, as the entire purpose of that orbital regime is to stay relatively static and stare at one area on Earth. 

But Clark said China moves around in orbit to avoid detection, dodge disruption, and get close enough to other satellites to inspect them, move them, or damage them. 

“They’re practicing stuff all across the sky,” Clark said. “Their experimental satellites move around, they do a bunch of stuff. … They go up and down the belt. They hold everybody at risk. Periodically, they do crazy stuff. They’ll get on top of a satellite. And sometimes they’ll pick it up and move it away.” 

China has experimented with maneuvering in GEO before. Since its 2019 launch, its SJ-17 satellite has moved all over the GEO belt, at times even crossing over into the Western Hemisphere. Over time, the kinds and numbers of Chinese satellites maneuvering in space has grown. 

Even traditional GEO satellites used for things like missile warning and intelligence are practicing maneuver skills.

“When you come for them, they’re going to have a playbook to run against you to make sure they can still provide space services to their force,” Clark said. 

These maneuvers have been especially noteworthy, he and Lerch added, because of the huge changes in speed, or “delta-v,” that China has been demonstrated. 

“It’s not just that they’ve been practicing [tactics],” Clark said. “They’ve been doing them in very specific ways, with huge delta-v’s relative to what we’re able to produce, and they’re doing them in ways that challenge our kill chain.” 

A slide from Exoanalytics at the Spacepower Conference in Orlando, Fla., shows how Chinese satellites are moving in geosynchronous orbit. Screenshot

U.S. Space Command boss Gen. Stephen Whiting said China has been using maneuver to put its satellites in novel” orbits outside the usual low-, medium-, geosynchronous, and highly elliptical orbits used by others—making it harder for the U.S. to track them. 

“It’s vital that given the threats we now see in novel orbits that are hard for us to get to, as well as the fact that the Chinese have been testing on-orbit refueling capability, that we need some kind of sustained space maneuver,” Whiting said. 

Traditionally, satellites limit their maneuvers to conserve limited fuel. But with both China and the U.S. eyeing ways to refuel satellites or come up with new propulsion systems that could change. Brig. Gen. Anthony J. Mastalir, head of Space Forces Indo-Pacific, warned of a “paradigm shift … that we need to be prepared to address.” 

Mastalir noted the U.S. can also benefit from maneuver, making satellites harder to target with direct ascent antisatellite weapons.  

Conversely, though, as Space Force leaders become more and more comfortable talking about offensive space weapons, their own ability to track and target Chinese satellites is challenged by their mobility. 

“Heretofore, we have just acknowledged something is going to maneuver or thrust, there’ll be a change in delta-v, and given enough time, we’ll get an orbit determination, and we’ll know where it is,” Mastalir said. “That is not the future, that is not the space warfighting domain that we need to prepare for.” 

If both sides are able to maneuver, it inevitably raises the potential of a “dogfight in space,” said Lt. Gen. Douglas A. Schiess, head of Space Forces-Space.  

“China is all over the place. We are watching what they are doing, and we are doing things as well to make sure that we’re as safe as possible,” he added. 

The difference between the two countries’ space maneuvers, Scheiss argued, is that China has not proven itself to be a “responsible operator in this domain.” 

Military space leaders have been talking about dynamic space operations for years now, but it’s unclear how the Space Force will pursue the capability. One option is “gas stations in orbit,” servicing and refueling satellites in space; another is advanced propulsion technology, including nuclear power; a third is simply increasing launches to replenish capabilities and make burning fuel less of a consideration. 

Whiting said he’s less interested in how USSF can maneuver more than in simply getting the capability. But he noted an interest in the Space Force’s X-37B spaceplane, which earlier this year demonstrated a novel technique called “aerobraking” to maneuver without burning too much fuel. 

“If we had a highly maneuverable system like the X-37 that would allow us to reduce operational surprise,” he said. “Today, we have a hard time getting to those other novel orbits. But if we had a capability to bridge those orbital regimes, then we would be less susceptible to surprise.”  

Air Force Infrastructure Is On Life Support. A New Plan Aims to Fix It

Air Force Infrastructure Is On Life Support. A New Plan Aims to Fix It

Dec. 11, 2024 | By David Roza

The Department of the Air Force’s installations czar revealed a plan Dec. 11 to fix Air Force and Space Force facilities that are increasingly in a state of decay, including airfields, water and electrical systems, munitions storage, and other critical base facilities. 

Among the troubling statistics cited in the new Installation Infrastructure Action Plan:

  • Half of the Department of the Air Force infrastructure is operating under moderate or high-risk conditions, and that share is growing
  • One-third of DAF utilities, such as water, electric services, and heat and air conditioning systems, are in critical condition; 25 percent are degraded
  • 70 percent of utility systems at Pacific Air Forces (PACAF) locations are severely degraded due to the highly corrosive environment
  • 48 percent of secondary and tertiary airfield pavements (i.e. taxiways, parking aprons) are not in good condition
  • The average age of the department’s 640 munitions storage facilities is 47 years old; many are unable to store advanced munitions

The U.S. relies on these facilities to compete with the likes of China and Russia. But the long reach of ballistic missiles, cyberattacks, and more mean no base is safe in a conflict with those adversaries, a risk compounded by the threat of climate change and limited budgets. 

Reversing years of disrepair is the goal of the new action plan (I2AP), a sweeping document overseen by Dr. Ravi Chaudhary, assistant secretary of the Air Force for energy, installations, and environment.

“The ability of our installations to be effective and project power is going to be the margin of victory in great power competition,” Chaudhary said at a Dec. 11 Warfighters in Action event hosted by the Air & Space Forces Association.

“We have a plan that keeps us moving forward in that endeavor,” he said. “But I can tell you, it’s going to take a lot of effort. It’s going to take a lot of partnering and a lot of support across our communities to get it done.”

The plan has three objectives:

  • Focus improvement efforts on the infrastructure most critical to DAF missions
  • Right-size installation infrastructure by cutting useless or dilapidated infrastructure
  • Boost infrastructure’s resilience against man-made or climate threats
Dr. Ravi Chaudhary, the Assistant Secretary of the Air Force for Energy, Installations, and Environment, is interviewed by Maj. Gen. Doug Raaberg, USAF (Ret.), the Executive Vice President of the Air & Space Forces Association, Dec. 11, 2024. (Air & Space Forces Magazine photo by Jud McCrehin)
Dr. Ravi Chaudhary, the Assistant Secretary of the Air Force for Energy, Installations, and Environment, is interviewed by Maj. Gen. Doug Raaberg, USAF (Ret.), the Executive Vice President of the Air & Space Forces Association, Dec. 11, 2024. (Air & Space Forces Magazine photo by Jud McCrehin)

Mission Critical

The goal of the first objective is to reverse some of the report’s most troubling statistics about infrastructure health.

“No bones about it, we need to make sure that we’re directing the right investments in the right locations to ensure that our infrastructure is healthy,” Chaudhary said. “This is designed to arrest some of that [degradation], one, by focusing on the things that are most critical to our mission.”

Some of the first actions on the 16-step list include modernizing base communications infrastructure, enhancing cybersecurity, and installing LTE/5G cellular infrastructure at 10 PACAF installations by fiscal 2030. 

Others include creating an annual DAF infrastructure investment plan; adopting a joint standardized methodology for scoring infrastructure risk; and identifying the top priorities for improving munitions storage, weapons systems, runways, and infrastructure for employed-in-place missions.

The plan also identifies child development centers (CDCs), Airman dormitories, and family housing as key facilities in need of prioritization and investment, with the goal of hitting 80 percent of the authorized requirements for CDCs and dorms by fiscal 2040.

Chaudhary recalled a recent visit to a munitions facility at Nellis Air Force Base, Nev., where Airmen were not only executing a large-scale Red Flag exercise, but also assembling munitions for Ukraine.

“They’re doing double-duty at these facilities … and roughly, I would say 70 percent of their facilities were workable, and a couple of them just did not have the environmental cooling to do the job that they needed to do,” he said. “To me, that was demonstrative of the fact that we’ve got to get at this more aggressively.”

A contracted crane company lifts new storage facilities into place on Dec. 13, 2021, at Roland R. Wright Air National Guard Base, Utah. The dilapidated facilities, which were more than 20 years old, were being replaced the same day with new and improved buildings. (U.S. Air National Guard photo by Master Sgt. John Winn)

Right-Sized

After the Gulf War, the Air Force shrank in terms of units and personnel, but its number of installations did not keep pace, leaving the branch with plenty of under-utilized space that stretches its limited maintenance budget. But closing down old facilities is tough when local communities and members of Congress hate to see jobs and investment walk away.

The action plan recommends public-private partnerships, Enhanced Use Leases (EUL), and Intergovernmental Support Agreements (IGSAs) as creative ways to make bases more efficient without requesting slow-moving military construction funds or upsetting the local economy. 

As an example, Nellis Air Force Base leased land under a EUL to build a wastewater treatment plant, which provides water for irrigating base property and the city of North Las Vegas. Chaudhary also pointed to Fairchild Air Force Base, Wash., which he said saved $30 million by partnering with the local sheriff’s office to build a new shooting range. 

“That’s how we’re going to get over this challenge of budget,” he said. “My word out to any installation commander … take a look at what these IGSAs do for you, look at opportunities at enhanced use leases.”

The nine steps under objective two include growing the number of EULs by 10 percent by fiscal 2028, then by 20 percent by fiscal 2032. Some of that could involve expanding commercial and intergovernmental partnerships to support Space Force launch and test operations. 

Chaudhary hopes to apply the same mindset to base operations support, family housing, CDCs, and dormitories. Edwards Air Force Base, Calif., recently reached a deal with a private housing provider to start a first-of-its-kind private off-base apartment complex for unaccompanied Airmen, while Eglin Air force Base and Hurlburt Field, both in Florida. are exploring similar measures, Chaudhary said.

Members of Congress are skeptical of privatized military housing providers, considering their poor track record in family housing, but Chaudhary said they are key to quickly building places for Airmen and Guardians to live in exceptionally tight housing markets.

“That allows us to divest the need for another facility,” he said. 

microgrid
C5ISR Center engineers work on a hybrid power system as part of the Army’s ongoing research in tactical microgrids at Aberdeen Proving Ground, Md., June 16, 2020. (U.S. Army photo by Daniel Lafontaine)

Resilient

The last objective is to boost the resilience of DAF infrastructure against kinetic, cyber, climate, energy, and water threats. Chaudhary warned that adversaries could paralyze a base by targeting its electrical or cyber grid alongside those of the local community. He recommended installation commanders try Energy Resilience Readiness Exercises (ERREs) and cyber- and water-based resilience exercises to find vulnerabilities, a key part of the action plan.

“These take a heck of a lot of effort, and this plan is designed to focus all that effort on that activity,” he said. 

Reliable energy from multiple sources is a central part of the plan; Chaudhary praised Kadena Air Base, Japan, where a microgrid kept the lights on during a typhoon. He also expects Eielson Air Force Base, Alaska, will have a small nuclear reactor up and running by 2027.  

The 10 steps under objective three include installing microgrids at two Space Force bases and 14 Air Force bases by fiscal 2030; executing ERREs at 25 installations by the end of fiscal 2027; conducting cyber resilience exercises at 25 installations by the end of fiscal 2030; and increasing the number of privatized utility systems by 10 percent by the end of fiscal 2030.

Chaudhary said he is leaving his position in January as President-elect Donald Trump is set to return to office, but he did not seem concerned about the new administration discarding the action plan.

“I don’t see this as a partisan issue, it’s going to be a bipartisan issue: meeting the challenge of China,” he said. 

Despite New Policy, Space Force Remains Stymied by Classification

Despite New Policy, Space Force Remains Stymied by Classification

Dec. 11, 2024 | By Greg Hadley

ORLANDO, Fla.—Nearly a year after the Department of Defense signed off on a new policy meant to reduce classified restrictions on space programs, not a single weapon system has yet made it through the process, the head of U.S. Space Command said Dec. 11. 

That’s not to say they’re not trying, Gen. Stephen N. Whiting said at the Spacepower Conference.  

But the wait highlights the bureaucratic hurdles SPACECOM and the Space Force face in trying to integrate allies and commercial partners into their plans. 

The DOD policy change, signed by Deputy Secretary of Defense Kathleen H. Hicks in January 2024, did not declassify anything on its own. Instead, it established a process to enable officials to “pull down” classification levels for systems previously designated Special Access Programs, a restriction level that exceeds top secret clearances, and to re-designate them at “more rational classification levels,” Whiting said. 

Space Force leaders have pushed back on over-classification for years, and criticism dates back to before the Space Force was formed. Limits on access makes coordination harder and frustrates operators who may not be informed of certain capabilities until just before or even after they might need them. Even if the weapons programs stay top secret, moving them down from SAP provides a “massive value to the warfighter,” noted then-Assistant Secretary of Defense for Space Policy John Plumb in February. 

Yet even that has proven “difficult,” Whiting said. 

“There’s just a lot of work to do when you’re taking something from a very high classification level and pulling it down,” Whiting told reporters. “Things like, you’ve got to move all the information off of different networks onto other networks. And that is not trivial work. There is work ongoing to take our blue systems and run it through that process. But no blue system has gone through that process completely.” 

Making progress is critical, Whiting added, “because that will make us better as part of this broader warfighting team, if we can truly have the right conversations about the capabilities that we’re bringing to the table.” 

In the meantime, the issue continues to frustrate operators in the field, said Chief Master Sgt. Tina R. Timmerman and Chief Master Sgt. Jeffery J. Grela, senior enlisted leaders for the Space Force components to U.S. Space Command and U.S. Central Command. 

“We still have significant over-classification problems,” Timmerman said in a panel discussion. 

“The one obstacle we’ve been seeing—no surprise— … is over-classification, or, in all fairness, perceived over-classification of what it is we do, which is an inhibitor to really partner to the level that we’d like to partner,” added Grela. 

For allies trying to decide what space systems they should develop with limited budgets while not duplicating things unnecessarily, over-classification is a major frustration, said Air Marshal Paul Godfrey, a UK officer who’s serving a tour as the Space Force’s Assistant Chief of Space Operations for Future Concepts and Partnerships. 

“You want to develop relevant capabilities and capabilities that will be interoperable,” said Godfrey, who brings a personal perspective on the issue having been the first head of U.K. Space Command. “But a lot of the time you don’t know what is available. You just don’t know what you don’t know.”

Space Force officials have begun saying they want acquisition strategy to be “allied by design,” so investments are closely coordinated with allied countries. The Department of the Air Force’s International Affairs team has increased information sharing, said Steven A. Ruehl, director of policy and programs in that office. Declassifying more can only help. But Godfrey cautioned that secrecy is always going to be part of the space picture.  

“We don’t need to share everything,” he said. “Everyone needs their own information that they’re going to protect. But currently we are not sharing enough.”  

American MQ-9 Drone Shot Down in Syria—by US Ally

American MQ-9 Drone Shot Down in Syria—by US Ally

Dec. 11, 2024 | By Chris Gordon

A U.S. Air Force MQ-9 Reaper was mistakenly shot down in northern Syria on Dec. 9 by the U.S.-allied Syrian Democratic Forces, U.S. officials told Air & Space Forces Magazine.

The Kurdish-led SDF is the United States’ principal partner in the fight against the Islamic State group in Syria, and the downing of the American MQ-9 appears to have been a case of mistaken identity. The group has been battling the Turkish-backed Syrian National Army for control in northern Syria, where Turkish drones have been operating against the SDF.

“The incident was a result of friendly fire from partner forces conducting operations in the region who misidentified the unmanned aircraft as a threat,” a U.S. defense official told Air & Space Forces Magazine. The drone was operating on a mission as part of Operation Inherent Resolve, the campaign against the Islamic State group, the defense official said.

The downing of the U.S. MQ-9 was first reported by CNN. Deputy Pentagon Press Secretary Sabrina Singh confirmed the downing of the drone, but did not say who was responsible for the incident.

“There’s been no change to our partnership with the SDF when it comes to ensuring the defeat of ISIS,” Singh said Dec. 11.

Images that appeared on social media on Dec. 9 show what appeared to be the largely intact wreckage of an MQ-9 in northern Syria. It was later intentionally destroyed, according to the defense official.

“U.S. forces have recovered appropriate aircraft components and destroyed the remaining portions of the aircraft,” the official said. “U.S. Air Forces Central is actively assessing the actions that led to the incident and will adjust tactics, techniques, and procedures to safeguard U.S., coalition, and partner forces and their associated assets.”

The SDF released a video of the downing of what it identified as a Turkish drone on Dec. 10. It is unclear whether that incident was related to the downing of the MQ-9.

The fighting in Syria is complex, with many different parties. The U.S. and Turkey are NATO allies, but Turkey has long regarded the SDF as an adversary, even as the U.S. and SDF have worked together. In October 2023, a U.S. F-16 downed a Turkish drone when it tried to target SDF forces near U.S. troops. The U.S. has urged Turkey and the militias it supports to avoid conflict with the SDF in recent days in the wake of the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria on Dec. 8.

The SDF and Turkish-backed rebels agreed to a U.S.-mediated ceasefire on Dec. 9 in Manbij, which called for the SDF to pull out of the northern border city, where there had been heavy fighting. The SDF is trying to stop the Turkish-backed rebels from advancing further and aims to prevent the capture of the primarily Kurdish city of Kobane.

U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) boss Army Gen. Michael “Erik” Kurilla visited Syria and met with SDF leaders and U.S. service members on Dec. 10. The U.S. has some 900 troops in Syria as part of the mission to defeat the remnants of the Islamic State attempting to make a comeback.

That same day, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Air Force Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr. called his Turkish counterpart to emphasize U.S. concerns. That call followed a call from U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III earlier in the week to his Turkish counterpart. On the diplomatic front, Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken is heading to Turkey on Dec. 13 in a bid to prevent further escalation of violence in Syria.

The U.S. military conducted a punishing series of airstrikes against the Islamic State group on Dec. 8 with U.S. Air Force B-52s, F-15Es, and A-10s in an attempt to stop the group from exploiting the current instability in the country.

“We’re taking capability off the map for them. Our initial assessment is that they were successful and that we did kill a number of ISIS operatives in the desert,” Singh said of the airstrikes.

How Congress, DOD Can Help Small Businesses Meet New Cyber Rules 

How Congress, DOD Can Help Small Businesses Meet New Cyber Rules 

Dec. 10, 2024 | By Shaun Waterman

Congress and small business advocates are working on a series of fixes for a new Department of Defense cybersecurity certification program they fear will otherwise be a major disincentive for smaller, nontraditional defense suppliers to bid on Air Force and other defense contracts. 

On Capitol Hill, there is a draft bill that would create a tax credit to cover part of the cost of compliance for the smallest companies. And some advocates are also suggesting Small Business Administration loans might be available to help businesses cover the upfront costs. 

The long-delayed Cybersecurity Maturity Model Certification program, or CMMC, was finalized this year and the requirements will start to show up in defense contracts by the end of next year, said Rachel Grey, the director of research and regulatory policy for the National Small Business Association. 

“We support a congressional fix to help small businesses comply with CMMC,” she told Air & Space Forces Magazine.  

The CMMC is designed to ensure that defense contractors handling unclassified but still sensitive data known as Controlled Unclassified Information comply with cybersecurity guidelines from the National Institute for Standards and Technology, or NIST. But advocates are concerned that the comparatively high costs of compliance may discourage smaller, more innovative companies from competing for defense contracts. 

“The costs of compliance risks shutting small businesses out of the defense industrial base,” said Grey, noting the investment in CMMC compliance must be made upfront, before any contract award. 

The aim of securing the defense industrial base, or DIB, against foreign cyber intruders is widely shared, including by NSBA, said Grey. But “the burden is not sustainable for small businesses,” she said. 

Lawmakers addressed the issue in report language accompanying the must-pass National Defense Authorization bill for 2025, stating that “with the finalization of the rules for the Cybersecurity Maturity Model Certification, we believe it is important that the Department of Defense provide additional assistance to small businesses in the defense industrial base navigating this process.” 

The Small Business Cybersecurity Act of 2024, proposed by Rep. Scott Fitzgerald (R-Wis.), would allow companies with fewer than 50 employees to deduct 30 percent of their compliance costs, up to a maximum of $50,000, from their annual tax bill.  

The bill was developed by Fitzgerald’s office after discussions with staff from the Senate Small Business Committee and the DOD Chief Information Officer, said attorney Robert Metzger, who has acted in a volunteer capacity as a liaison on the legislation between the Hill and the Pentagon for almost two years. 

Metzger said it’s unlikely the bill will make it into the NDAA, which is currently being finalized, but there’s a good chance it gets included in a major tax bill due early next year. 

According to DOD figures, there are over 56,000 small defense contracting businesses that will eventually be required to get a third-party assessment of their compliance with the NIST cybersecurity standards, Metzger said. If all of them could claim the maximum allowable credit, the tax revenue lost would amount to $2.83 billion. But if the credit was only available to the smallest companies, those with fewer than 50 employees, the cost would be reduced to $1.04 billion. 

Moreover, Metzger points out, many companies may not claim the maximum amount which would also reduce the cost. And since the implementation of CMMC contractual requirements is spread over seven years, so will the costs of compliance.

“The objective here was to start with something that would be significantly helpful to the companies most in need, while being … fiscally prudent, administratively responsible and focused solely on new costs” coming directly from CMMC compliance, he said. “You don’t want it to be open to waste, fraud, abuse or gaming.”

“There will be lots of jostling as to the parameters of this legislation” as it moves forward, Metzger added, warning against special interests “exploiting” the measure by expanding it too far, which he said would reduce the chances of it passing. 

“I think it’s important to have a limited tax credit measure to help those who need it most, and to focus that help upon the new costs that CMMC requires. And I think if it’s done prudently, it should have a fair chance of success. Beyond that, I take a cautious approach to expanding the size of the credit, who may claim the credit, or for what,” he said. 

The Pentagon broadly supports the idea of such a limited tax credit, according to Stacy Bostjanick, DOD’s deputy chief information officer for cybersecurity, who said it was one of a number of ideas being looked at to mitigate possible negative effects of CMMC on small business participation in the DIB. 

“There’s a tax incentive that’s going through the Congress now—well, we’re hoping it goes through—and we’re supportive of that,” she said during a recent webcast, “We’re trying to find any means possible to help alleviate some of the pain and struggle for our small businesses.” 

But others note that the tax credit, while a positive idea, would only be available to businesses after they had spent the money. 

“The costs are incurred in advance of any possible revenue,” explained ML Mackey, chair of the Small Business Division of the National Defense Industrial Association, a trade group for military contractors. 

“Small businesses live or die by their cashflow,” she said, “Typically, they don’t tend to have cash reserves sitting around. They use what revenue they have to try to grow and scale.” 

Mackey is the cofounder, co-owner, and CEO of Beacon Interactive Systems, ​a small business which is digitizing Air Force flight lines and first became a military supplier through an SBIR contract. 

“From my own and my colleagues’ experience, for the small business owner, those kinds of upfront costs often mean refinancing their home or taking on credit card debt in order to make that leap of faith and do what they need to expand and grow,” she said. 

Mackey was clear that businesses needed to meet the costs of compliance, but pointed out it was a national security priority to increase the number of smaller, more innovative, and nontraditional technology suppliers in the DIB. 

“How do we help create a runway such that they can effectively get their CMMC certification and be able to execute on contracts and deliver that much needed, critical innovation for national security needs?” she asked. 

She said one interesting idea would be to expand the innovative work done in the past two years by a partnership between the DOD’s Office of Strategic Capital and SBA’s Office of Investment and Innovation. Their Small Business Investment Company Critical Technology Initiative leverages existing SBA loan authorities to match private capital investment in critical technology areas. 

“We could do the same kind of thing to make that patient capital [loans with a long repayment period and low interest rate] available to companies that are in critical technology sectors and need support to meet CMMC requirements upfront,” she said, “We don’t need new programs, we can use existing loan vehicles that are already in play.” 

Metzger added that implementing such a large and ambitious program within the DOD would take continuing leadership attention and called for the formation of a steering group within DOD.

“These things don’t just execute themselves,” he said. “You need leadership. You need management, oversight, administration, process, training, policies, guidance, instructions, and we’re just at the start of all that.”  

He pointed out that although CMMC was designed and produced by the the Pentagon’s CIO’s office, it will actually be implemented in contracts written by the department’s acquisition workforce. “There are other parts of DOD that have a say in this, as well,” he said. “Research and engineering [have a view] as to what it does to the innovators; defense intelligence [agencies provide] the threat information that should inform the cyber policy, etc, etc.” 

Given all the different players, Metzger argued, “It seems to me necessary that, under the leadership of the Deputy Secretary of Defense or even the Secretary, you need a CMMC executive steering group to essentially oversee this and make sure that we don’t just thrust it upon a big industrial base and hope for the best, because hope is not really a great substitute for planning.”