Brown Tours Pacific as U.S. and China Hold Dueling Exercises

Aug. 15, 2022 | By Abraham Mahshie

Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr. had hardly left the Indo-Pacific theater before China flew a joint bomber and fighter mission with U.S. partner Thailand. In nearby Indonesia, the U.S. concluded exercise Garuda Shield alongside Australia, Japan, and Singapore.

Brown’s first trip back to the theater where he commanded Pacific Air Forces from 2018 to 2020 comes at a time of heightened U.S. competition with China. Brown kicked off his trip at Travis Air Force Base, Calif., before visiting Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam, Hawaii; Andersen Air Force Base, Guam; Kadena, Air Base, Japan; Osan and Kunsan Air Bases, South Korea; Eielson Air Force Base, Alaska; and U.S. partners and allies in Singapore and the Philippines from Aug. 4 to 13.

“In order protect and enhance our collective international security, we need to focus on purposefully fostering our relationships,” Brown told senior enlisted leaders Aug. 1 at a gathering of 65 nations outside Washington, D.C.

Brown reflected on the relationships he built at the Air Command and Staff College at Maxwell Air Force Base, Ala., in 1997. His former classmates included the current air chiefs of Japan, Mexico, and Israel, he said.

“Those relationships are so important, relationships you build at the senior level, and relationships you build at more junior levels, and how they overlap in some form or fashion and offer the chance to work together,” Brown said. “The emerging challenges and threats of today require the weight of effort from all our nation’s best.”

Just days after delivering the message of nurturing long-standing relationships, Brown was on a plane for the Indo-Pacific to rekindle some of his own.

Meanwhile, China soon began live-fire exercises around Taiwan and launched a major exercise with the Thai Air Force. Thailand’s joint training exercise with China comes despite a close and long-standing U.S. basing relationship with Thailand and a June visit by Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III.

Brown’s Pacific Swing

Brown set the stage for his Pacific swing Aug. 4 at Travis, the largest air mobility wing, and what he called the “Gateway to the West” for its role in defense of a free and open Indo-Pacific.

At Hickam, Brown discussed the value of strengthening relationships with allies and partners, and 15th Wing Airmen highlighted how they work with regional partners to integrate joint operations. As he spoke, 14 nations, hosted by Indonesia and the United States, were conducting exercise Garuda Shield 2022.

Garuda Shield welcomed for the first time Australia, Singapore, and Japan alongside Canada, France, India, Malaysia, New Zealand, South Korea, the United Kingdom, and growing U.S. Pacific partners Papua New Guinea and Timor-Leste. While primarily a land and sea exercise, this year’s expanded “Super Garuda Shield” also included air defense exercises, airborne operations, and an airfield seizure exercise.

By Aug. 7, Brown toured Andersen Air Force Base and Northwest Field, Guam, which have undergone new construction as America’s westernmost power projection point.

At each stop, Brown held an all-call with Airmen to discuss the Air Force’s role in the National Defense Strategy, to talk about resiliency, and to urge Airmen to innovate. In small group settings, he had breakfasts and lunches with Airmen to gather their feedback and to provide mentorship, according to a readout provided to Air Force Magazine.

At Kadena Air Base on Aug. 11, Brown said Airman must exploit the air domain through mission control and empowerment of Airmen.

“Successful operations and combat support in a contested environment demand maximum delegation, trust, and empowerment of Airmen before conflict starts,” he said at the all-call. Brown also honored Master Sgt. Jason Yunker for his innovative work on the Versatile Integrating Partner Equipment Refueling (VIPER) kit to refuel aircraft in austere locations.

In South Korea, Brown visited both Osan and Kunsan Air Bases on Aug. 12, where in 2007-2008, he served as 8th Fighter Wing commander. Brown then flew north to Eielson Air Force Base. Details were not available about his Eielson trip, and the Air Force chief held no public meetings before his partner-building trips to Singapore and the Philippines.

Brown was in the city state of Singapore Aug.7-10, one of the strongest U.S. partners in Southeast Asia, to reaffirm the strong bilateral defense partnership and to discuss ways to enhance cooperation. There, he met with the Singapore minister of defense, chief of the defense force, and chief of the Air Force. He participated in a national day parade and was given Singapore’s military Meritorious Service Medal.

“Strong bilateral relationships like that of the U.S. and Singapore are cultivated over time and are based on communication and transparency and shared values and interests,” Brown said, according to an Air Force press release.

The United States and Singapore celebrated the 30th anniversary of exercise Commando Sling in June. Brown and Singapore’s leaders discussed the planned consolidation of Singapore’s Air Force F-16 and future F-35 fighter jet training detachments in the United States.

Brown’s final stop was the Philippines, where a new government has signaled its willingness to cooperate militarily with China. Brown’s visit was consistent with a Defense Department hope to deepen the U.S.-Filipino defense partnership after strained relations under ex-president Rodrigo Duterte.

In Manila, Brown met with the Chief of Staff of the Philippines Armed Forces and the Air Force command general to discuss ways to deepen cooperation. The Philippines is among the nations with whom China has acted aggressively on the high seas and maintains a maritime dispute. The Philippines, nonetheless, is deeply dependent on China economically.

“The U.S.-Philippine alliance is strong; we support a resilient and independent Philippines with the capability to protect its sovereignty and defend its security interests on its own terms,” Brown said, according to a press release.

The Air Force Chief of Staff told Philippines defense leaders that the United States would support Philippine Air Force modernization requirements. Brown is expected to brief members of the media Aug. 17 to provide further details about the objectives and accomplishments of his Pacific trip.

Air Force F-35 Stand Down Ends After Ejection Seat Inspections

Aug. 15, 2022 | By Greg Hadley

Two weeks after announcing a stand down of its F-35 fleet to check for potentially faulty parts in the fighters’ ejection seats, the Air Force has mostly completed its inspections and the aircraft have been cleared to resume normal operations, Air Combat Command announced Aug. 15.

The stand down, ordered July 29, affected fleets across ACC, Air Education and Training Command, U.S. Air Forces in Europe, and Pacific Air Forces. In a statement to Air Force Magazine, an ACC spokesperson said most of the service’s 349 jets were inspected, along with additional supplies of the part in question, a cartridge-actuated device, or CAD.

Each fighter has two CADs, and all told, 706 of the cartridges were inspected. Of those 706, four “were found to be suspect” and replaced, the spokesperson said.

A number of F-35s remained uninspected as of Aug. 15. The ACC spokesperson clarified that they are in depot status. Under a Time Compliance Technical Directive, all aircraft must be inspected within 90 days.

“Those aircraft will be inspected within the TCTD’s 90-day compliance period or before their next flight,” the spokesperson said of the remaining uninspected fighters.

The issue at the heart of the stand down was discovered in April during a routine inspection at Hill Air Force Base, Utah, when maintainers found a faulty CAD that had an insufficient amount of explosive powder. Without the needed explosive powder, the cartridges may not initiate necessary actions if the pilot commands an ejection.

Inspecting the cartridges involved taking each jet out of service for a day so its seat could be removed from the aircraft. From there, the CADs can be removed quickly and inspected. Maintainers who are unsure whether a cartridge has enough explosive powder can X-ray it.

The Air Force’s F-35s are not the only fleet that has encountered the issue. The Navy and Marine Corps have reportedly conducted cartridge replacements on at least five different kinds of aircraft, and Martin-Baker seats are used by dozens of other countries and air forces. Germany, Israel, and the United Kingdom have all announced inspections as well.

Lawmakers and advocates have closely followed issues with Air Force ejection seats for several years, leading to legislation. As a result, the services are “taking no chances. They are going for zero risk,” a Martin-Baker official previously told Air Force Magazine.

Editor’s Note: This story was updated on Aug. 16 to clarify the role the CADs play in the ejection process.

Austin Tests Positive for COVID-19 Again—Second Time in Eight Months

Aug. 15, 2022 | By Amanda Miller

Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III has COVID-19 for the second time in 2022.

Austin said in a statement Aug. 15 that he had tested positive that morning. He was “experiencing mild symptoms” and planned to “quarantine at home for the next five days” in accordance with Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidelines. Austin previously tested positive for the coronavirus in January.

A Pentagon spokesperson confirmed that Austin will test negative before returning to the office, as President Joe Biden did. Austin said his last “in-person contact” with Biden was July 29, which was a day before Biden himself had to go back into isolation. Biden’s infection and subsequent so-called “rebound” infection lasted from July 21 to Aug. 6 in all.

Austin said he’s fully vaccinated, including two booster doses. He attributed his vaccination status with symptoms being “less severe than would otherwise be the case.” He planned to “retain all authorities” while working from home. Austin took part in the change of command ceremony for U.S. Africa Command on Aug. 9 and traveled to Latvia the same day.

As of Aug. 5, 689 service members, Defense Department civilians, dependents, and contractor personnel had died of COVID-19. A total of 697,522 cases had been reported, with patients hospitalized 6,502 times. The Department of the Air Force reported that as of Aug. 8, 165 personnel had died out of 158,375 cases.

Coronavirus transmission was “high” in 94 percent of U.S. counties Aug. 15, according to the CDC.

The Department of Veterans Affairs has led research into the consequences of repeatedly being infected with the coronavirus. Researchers analyzed data in the department’s “vast health care databases” to figure out the immediate risks of reinfections as well as health outcomes up to six months later.

The VA researchers compared patients with one to as many as three or more infections and found that “reinfection contributes additional risks of all-cause mortality, hospitalization, and adverse health outcomes in the pulmonary [lung] and several extrapulmonary organ systems.” Those included cardiovascular and blood disorders, diabetes, and fatigue along with gastrointestinal, kidney, mental health, musculoskeletal, and neurologic disorders. The “risks were evident in those who were unvaccinated, had 1 shot, or 2 or more shots prior to the second infection.”

Austin last tested positive Jan. 2, worked virtually during that infection, and returned to the Pentagon on Jan. 10.

The DOD revised some of its COVID-19 rules in a memo dated Aug. 8. The new guidelines clarified what’s meant by being “up to date” on COVID-19 vaccines and when personnel must wear masks in vehicles, among other changes.

F-35 Lot 15 Will Include Up to 129 Fighters, Cost $7.6 Billion

Aug. 15, 2022 | By Greg Hadley

Lot 15 of the F-35 fighter will include up to 129 aircraft, with 49 F-35As for the Air Force, and cost up to $7.6 billion, according to the details of a contract award announced by the Pentagon on Aug. 12.

The final contract award came less than a month after the F-35 Joint Program Office and Lockheed Martin announced a “handshake” deal for Lots 15-17 of the fighter, the result of months of delayed negotiations.

As part of that handshake deal, the JPO agreed to buy 375 fighters for an average of 125 per lot, roughly in line with the 129 agreed to in Lot 15 but well below the 156 per year that Lockheed Martin CEO James D. Taiclet had previously predicted.

The announcement of the handshake agreement did not include any information on pricing, per-variant totals, or how many each service and partner country would receive. In the Lot 15 announcement, some of those details were revealed. Of the 129 total aircraft,

the Air Force will get 49 F-35As;
the Marine Corps will get three F-35Bs and 10 F-35Cs;
the Navy will get 15 F-35Cs;
non-DOD participants—international partners in the F-35 program—will get 32 F-35As and four F-35Bs;
and Foreign Military Sales customers will get 16 F-35As.

The announcement does not specify which international partners or FMS customers will get the Lot 15 jets.

In addition to the fighters themselves, the Lot 15 deal, technically a modification to a previous advance acquisition contract, will include “69 shipsets of technical hardware.”

Work on the contract is expected to last until October 2024, with the majority occurring in Lockheed Martin’s Fort Worth, Texas, facility. The Air Force is providing the largest chunk of funding at roughly $2.7 billion, taken from its 2020 and 2021 aircraft procurement accounts.

The JPO and Lockheed Martin had previously said they were working first to ink a deal for Lots 15 and 16 “as a high priority.” The JPO will “exercise a contract option for Lot 17 in FY 2023” after the fiscal 2023 budget is made final, in order to take into account any congressional adds or international orders.

The overall lower numbers of jets agreed to in Lots 15-17 come as the Air Force cut back on its purchase of F-35s in the 2023 budget, down to just 33 F-35As, with plans to go even lower in 2024.

Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall has indicated that the service is waiting for Lockheed Martin to finish developing the long-awaited Block 4 and Technical Refresh 3 updates for the fighter before increasing its buys again, to avoid having to retrofit fighters in the future.

At the same time, the cost of the F-35 is likely to go up. While the Pentagon did not release an exact price per tail in the Lot 15 contract, both DOD and Lockheed Martin have pointed toward the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, supply chain disruptions, and rising inflation, as challenges in negotiations that will likely drive up costs.

Air Force Keeping F-16s, Not Moving Toward Fighter Derived From MR-F or T-7 for Now

Aug. 14, 2022 | By John A. Tirpak

DAYTON, Ohio—With upgrades, F-16s can serve as a numbers-builder in the combat air forces until the 2040s, and it’s not necessary to launch its successor yet, program officials said at an industry conference.

“We anticipate hundreds of F-16s in active service for decades to come,” meaning into the 2040s, Col. Tim Bailey, Air Force Life Cycle Management Center’s F-16 program manager, said in a press conference at the Life Cycle Industry Days.

Brig. Gen. Dale White, program executive officer for fighters and advanced aircraft, said much of the recent service-life extension program (SLEP) work on the F-16 has bought years of additional life for the type, and he’s gotten no instructions to start work on its successor, which USAF has dubbed the “MR-F” or “MR-X,” for a future multirole fighter.

White also said there’s no requirement passed to AFLCMC to evaluate the Boeing T-7 as a possible successor platform to the F-16.

The MR-F first showed up in planning documents in 2021 that indicated the Air Force was looking to an F-16 successor in the mid-2030s. The documents suggested the aircraft sought would not be intended as an all-up, very stealthy jet, but what Chief of Staff Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr. characterized as a “fifth-gen-minus” fighter, for which affordability, and not necessarily high-level survivability, would be a key requirement.

Former head of Air Combat Command retired Gen. James “Mike” Homes suggested that an armed version of the Boeing T-7 trainer could be adapted to such a role and also serve as an export fighter for partner countries lacking the funds or expertise to operate and maintain a more complex aircraft.

But “I have nothing in the mix with requirements from ACC to pursue that,” Bailey said of the MR-F and T-7 derivative.

The Air Force last year laid out its future fighter force structure, necking down from seven fighter types today to “4+1,” in which the F-22, later replaced by the Next Generation Air Dominance system, is one; the F-35 is the second; the F-15E/F-15EX are the third; and the F-16 is the fourth—with the A-10 as the “plus one” set to phase out in 2030. The service posited the clean-sheet MR-F design or T-7 derivative as succeeding the F-16.

“The 4+1 is still the strategy,” White said, “and there has been talk about the MR-X. We do what the requirements folks tell us. It’s good to have options.”

White said it’s “a healthy thing” that the Air Force has the F-35 and F-15EX in production for itself and that Lockheed Martin is still building F-16s for the international market. Technology created for the latest F-16s can be inserted into the Air Force’s existing F-16 aircraft, he said, noting that a major radar upgrade for the jet was “actually paid for by Taiwan.”

“While I don’t have any firm requirement” for an F-16 replacement, “I know the MR-F piece is going to continue to be looked at, because at some point we’ll have to have a replacement” for the F-16.

He said the MR-F for now resides with ACC’s program planning shop.

The F-16 is structurally healthy and can continue to serve, Bailey said.

The service life extension program now largely complete, “for a few million dollars per jet, gives you 20 years of life,” Bailey said.

“The F-16 provides the capacity in our Air Force: lots of fighters to cover all kinds of combatant commander needs,” he said. However, “it has to be relevant. Not just the F-16 of today.”

White said F-16s are being fitted with active electronically-scanned array radars “as fast as we possibly can,” saying this modification is underway “at nine different bases” and the F-16 depot at Hill Air Force Base, Utah. The radars expand the sensing range of the aircraft, the number of targets it can track, and the modes with which it can prosecute ground targets.

The jets will also get “a host of other upgrades: EW (electronic warfare) kind of things,” which, along with the radar, are the “big mods” being done on the fighter, White said.

The F-16 entered Air Force service in 1978 but has been modified over the years with more powerful engines, radars, self-protection systems, and nearly every munition the Air Force fields.

Additional upgrades depend on the capabilities available across the fighter enterprise, White said, and any upgrade to the F-16 could be costly because of the numbers of the aircraft.

“There are … almost 900 F-16s in the Air Force … Any mod becomes an expensive mod when you have that many airplanes,” he said. “So, we’ll see. See what it takes.”

Future upgrades may borrow from the foreign military sales “side of the house,” he said, wherein USAF can apply upgrades that F-16 customers are adding to their new or existing jets.

Most of the Air Force’s F-16s will also eventually wear the “Have Glass” finish, which substitutes a new radar-absorbing coating for the jet’s traditional gray-on-gray paint scheme.

Asked if the Air Force has F-16s available for potential transfer to Ukraine, White said “the needs of Ukraine today are being met with the systems you see being exported to Ukraine—HiMARS, etc.”

Ukraine has “other needs” as well, and “a few years down the road … some of those could involve fighter aircraft,” he said.

Requirements for KC-Y Likely in Fall; Analysis of Alternatives for KC-Z Set for 2024

Aug. 12, 2022 | By Greg Hadley

DAYTON, Ohio—The Air Force’s nascent KC-Z program, aimed at developing a next-generation family of systems for aerial refueling, will look to launch its analysis-of-alternatives study in 2024, years earlier than originally planned, a top acquisition official said Aug. 11.

Originally, the analysis of alternatives for the KC-Z was set for “maybe in the 2030s,” Paul Waugh, program executive officer for mobility and training aircraft, told reporters at the Life Cycle Industry Days conference.

Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall, however, directed that work on the next-gen tanker start much more quickly, “so we moved it to the left,” Waugh said.

That work will now begin in 2023, Waugh said, as the Air Force Life Cycle Management Center teams with Air Mobility Command on “pre-analysis of alternatives,” followed by the official analysis the next year, helping to “inform where KC-Z, the whole family of systems, goes,” Waugh said.

Waugh’s characterization of KC-Z as a family of systems follows on a request for information issued by AFLCMC that referred to a new Advanced Aerial Refueling Family of Systems program. That RFI emphasized technologies like survivability, autonomy, and interoperability, and Waugh echoed the RFI in stating that the tech developed for KC-Z could eventually make its way onto the rest of the tanker fleet.

“Some of that technology may make its way into KC-Y or KC-46, or KC-135. It just depends on what it is and where it’s at,” Waugh said.

Bridge Tanker Timeline

The state of KC-Y, also referred to as the bridge tanker, has been hotly discussed as of late, as Kendall has said several times now that the likelihood of a competition has gone down for the refueler that will “bridge” the gap between the KC-46 and KC-Z.

“As we look for requirements, look further out, the requirements start to look like a modified KC-46 more than they do a completely new design,” Kendall told reporters in March.

However, Kendall has also couched his comments by saying that a final decision will be made after the Air Force finishes formulating its requirements and conducts its due-diligence market research analysis.

Waugh indicated that those requirements could be coming soon.

“We’re waiting for the requirements to come out from the Air Force. So, Air Mobility Command, the lead command for the mobility side of the enterprise, is working the requirements with the Air Force staff to get them finalized and then put into the [Joint Requirements Oversight Council and Joint Capabilities Integration Development System] process,” Waugh said. “And then [they will] come out, which we think will be sometime in the fall—we don’t really get a good idea of when they’re going to come out, but sometime in the fall.”

In the meantime, the AFLCMC has been conducting “some background work,” Waugh said, including issuing a request from industry for input “from the two prime contenders”—Boeing and Lockheed Martin.

While Boeing has indicated it plans to essentially re-enter its KC-46 for the program, Lockheed Martin has teamed with Airbus for what it is calling LMXT, a modified A330 Multi-Role Tanker Transport.

At the Farnborough International Airshow in July in the United Kingdom, Erin Moseley, Lockheed Martin’s vice president for strategy and business development for aeronautics, told reporters the company’s expectation is that “we’ll have the opportunity to compete fairly.”

Based off the responses and data provided from Boeing and Lockheed Martin, AFLCMC was able to start work on a business case analysis for KC-Y, Waugh said. And that analysis will “help inform an acquisition decision after we have a set of requirements.”

The analysis will be updated after the requirements are officially released, and a final acquisition decision will follow a few months later.

“If we get a set of requirements in the fall, then the acquisition decision would be sometime in probably the spring of next year, the spring of 2023,” Waugh said.

Air Force Contemplates Reorganizing Software Factories; Kessel Run Looks to Expand

Aug. 12, 2022 | By Greg Hadley

DAYTON, Ohio—The Air Force’s network of software development teams has grown prodigiously in recent years, with 17 software factories, three software engineering groups, and two enterprise services spread across the U.S.

Now, however, USAF is reconsidering how it wants to organize those teams—having them work more closely together or possibly even consolidating them—as the principles behind them such as agile DevSecOps become more widely accepted across the service.

“The first intent was to consolidate the software engineering groups at Hill, Robins, and Tinker [Air Force Bases], and then in some way for that consolidated wing to have a relationship with the other software factories as we know them. That conversation is ongoing,” Steven Wert, program executive officer for the digital directorate, told reporters at the Life Cycle Industry Days conference.

As part of that conversation, “working groups [are] being established in different components, things like acquisitions and personnel and resiliency, for example,” said Col. Richard Lopez, materiel leader for the Air Force’s original software factory, Kessel Run.

“So you have different working groups, composed of different players within the ecosystem that are informing how the factories work together and collaborate together,” Lopez added.

Just how far-reaching those conversations will go or how long they will last, however, remains unclear, Wert said. Air Force Materiel Command has taken the lead on the process, which Wert described as a “bit confusing.”

“There are several well-known software factories like Kessel Run, and then there are others that are much less well known,” he said. “And then there are simply programs that are executing agile DevOps because it’s the right way to be doing software, and then they’re not known as software factories. So it’s not clear the extent to which this initiative … impacts various organizations.”

On top of that, there are considerations of how much the Air Force should rely on its software factories to develop capabilities versus simply buying and using commercial software. When Kessel Run first began in 2017, the Pentagon was notoriously slow at purchasing software, with technology often becoming outdated before the lengthy acquisition process was complete.

Against that backdrop, developing software in-house could be faster. But DOD has taken steps to try to speed up acquisition, introducing the Software Acquisition Pathway in 2020.

Kessel Run has already transitioned to using that pathway with its main customer, Air Combat Command. But the factory is also starting to buy commercial services itself, with applications such as C2IMERA.

“For the most part, the larger part of our portfolio uses a lot of internal development, or has historically used a lot of internal development, because Kessel Run started out as an experimental, government-led software development organization,” said Rodriguez, who took command in late June. “As we scale and expand, and as I’m further integrating into the program, what we’re doing is really taking a good look at the requirements that ACC gives us and then we make ‘buy versus build versus rent’ decisions so that we make sure that whatever it is that we’re delivering provides the best value for the warfighter.”

As the very first and arguably best known software factory, Kessel Run has already developed multiple applications that have seen real-world impact. In addition to C2IMERA for reporting, planning, force generation, emergency management, and command and control monitoring and execution, the factory has also developed KRADOS, which allows planners to build an air tasking order from anywhere using automation and advanced software.

KRADOS was first deployed to the Combined Air Operations Center at Al Udeid Air Base, Qatar, in early 2021, with early operational uses following at the 609th Air Operations Center. Recently, the system reached another milestone.

“Over the last week, we have delivered to our test organization a version of KRADOS [minimum viable capability release] that has achieved parity with TBMCS … the current system that’s being used,” Rodriguez said. “So the next step is to complete a final assessment with users at the actual AOC at Al Udied to determine … where that then becomes a system that the warfighters at the [Combined Air Operations Center] are using.”

Elements of KRADOS have also been used at the 603rd Air Operations Center at Ramstein Air Base, Germany, “primarily for visualization purposes and not necessarily developing the [air tasking order] and the airspace control order,” Rodriguez added, and the goal is to expand KRADOS so that it replaces the current system, the Theater Battle Management Core System (TBMCS), across the entire AOC enterprise.

First, however, KRADOS must undergo an assessment at the 609th AOC, split between Al Udied and Shaw Air Force Base, S.C. Teams will deploy to those bases to start that assessment in September, Rodriguez said. After that, it will be up to ACC to make a final call.

New Cost Estimate to Upgrade and Operate Boneyard-Bound F-22s Due in September

Aug. 12, 2022 | By John A. Tirpak

The Air Force will have an estimate of what it would cost to upgrade 33 Block 20 training F-22s to operational configuration by mid-September, and it will likely be “a tremendous number,” Brig. Gen. Dale White, program executive officer for fighters and advanced aircraft, told reporters at an industry conference.

“We’re working closely with Lockheed” Martin to deliver the new cost estimate, and it should be ready “in the next 30 days,” White said at the Life Cycle Industry Days conference in Dayton, Ohio, on Aug. 12.

In its fiscal 2023 budget request, the Air Force asked Congress to allow it to retire 33 Block 20 F-22s, which are used for training and aren’t up to the current 3.2B Block 30/35 operational configuration. The House, in its version of the defense bill, has instead directed the Air Force to upgrade the jets to operational configuration, in order to provide more combat capacity.

Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall told the Senate in May that such an upgrade would cost about $2 billion, or “about $50 million apiece.” However, White said that number was based on a 2019 estimate.

“We’re in the process of validating that, and seeing what’s changed, if anything,” White said. “We don’t have the data back.”

“We have looked at this over the years,” he added. “This is a very different time in terms of supply chain” and inflation.

White said he fears that Congress doesn’t appreciate that simply upgrading the jets wouldn’t be the whole story.

“When you say, ‘bring it up to a certain level,’ you’re talking about bringing it up to the level the Raptor’s at today,” he explained. “And that costs X amount of dollars. When you think about where the Raptor is going from here to the end of the decade, though, there is a lot of capability development there.”

He continued, “So now, not only do you have to bring it to where it is today, you also have to carry those 33 jets [forward] with the combat fleet” as well. “Now you have a capacity issue.”

This is “the one thing that does concern me,” he said. If the 33 Block 20s in question are to stay “with” the rest of the fleet, “I have 33 additional jets I have to do sensor enhancement on,” as well as new low-drag pylons and other new capabilities.

Air Combat Command recently released concept art of F-22s flying with stealthy fuel tanks and unexplained slender, stealthy-looking pods under the outer wings, which experts have speculated could be an electronic warfare or infrared search-and track systems, or possibly both.

One of White’s F-22 program staff also noted that the funds to operate the 33 jets was taken out of the budget and the savings applied elsewhere. If they are restored, “we have to put that O&M (operations and maintenance funding) back in, to keep those healthy” he said. Something else would have to be cut to do that.

Congress has asked the Air Force to provide an estimate of the cost to bring the 33 jets up to operational currency. The Senate, in its version of the defense bill, has enjoined the service from doing anything that would reduce F-22 capacity.

Air Combat Command has looked at increasing the number of all-up F-22s a number of times since 2010, but former ACC commander retired Gen. James “Mike” Holmes told Air Force Magazine in June 2020 that the expense consistently knocked it out of consideration when measured against other, higher-priority projects.

“Tradeoffs have to be made” about “the best place to spend your counterair dollar,” Holmes said at the time, and upgrading the older Raptors never quite made the cut.

Retired Lt. Gen. David A. Deptula, head of AFA’s Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies, said upgrading the training F-22s is “an affordable way” to add “another squadron of fifth-generation capability and capacity” to the Air Force’s dwindling fleet, which he said is planned to shrink by 1,000 aircraft over the next five years. Taking them out would reduce the deployable Raptor fleet to 100 aircraft, and of those, only a third would be “in the fight” at any given time, with another third in maintenance and another refueling and re-arming.

USAF Already Considering the Future of Combat Search and Rescue After Cutting HH-60W Buy

Aug. 12, 2022 | By Greg Hadley

DAYTON, Ohio—While the Air Force is keeping a seemingly optimistic outlook about the future of its MH-139 Grey Wolf fleet, despite problems receiving FAA certification, another of the service’s helicopter programs is being prematurely curtailed—and officials are already considering what might come next.

As part of its 2023 budget rollout, the Air Force announced plans to cut its total buy of the HH-60W Jolly Green II at 75, instead of the originally planned 113.

That cut, leaders said, was made in response to a changing threat environment, but it raised some concerns in Congress, where lawmakers have included language in several different spending and authorization bills asking for reports from the Air Force.

In particular, the Senate Appropriations defense subcommittee stated in its markup of the 2023 spending bill that the cut called into question “the strategic underpinning” of the Air Force’s acquisition decisions.

The Senate Armed Services Committee, meanwhile, included a provision in the 2023 National Defense Authorization Act requiring a briefing on “plans to satisfy the combat rescue requirement with United States assets should the Air Force’s program of record be truncated short of the inventory objective.” The House Armed Services Committee also included language that would require the Air Force to “conduct a study on the requirements for the Air Force combat search and rescue mission.”

Neither the spending bill nor the 2023 NDAA has passed Congress or become law yet, but work on those very questions is already being done as the Air Force considers the future of combat search and rescue, said Edward Stanhouse, deputy program executive officer for intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance, and special operations forces.

“The team is looking at a variety of technologies, in that exploration mode right now, from … [amphibious to] potential applications of some of those unmanned applications. A lot of work, a lot of conceptual work, I think has to be done in that area to do the proof of concepts,” Stanhouse said. “But primarily more kind of quick-moving aspects, potentially dual-use.”

“You may have seen the Air Force’s look at high speed vertical takeoff and landing aircraft … but also can something like that fill the need for something that can keep up with a fighter aircraft escort? Helicopters don’t do that very well. We tend to drag them down. So we’re kind of looking at that range of possibilities. ACC is looking at the requirement set right now. Air Combat Command has combat rescue in its portfolio, so they are looking at the range of concepts, and then they’re talking to AFRL and industry.”

In addition to Air Combat Command, Air Force Special Operations Command has already proposed a demo flight of an amphibious MC-130J, a special ops aircraft that can be used for infiltration and exfiltration. And the service’s experiments with electric vertical takeoff and landing have yielded several new milestones in recent months.